Football · Israel Premier League · 12/10, 19:30
Prediction: Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Haifa
Team pages: Hapoel Jerusalem FC · Maccabi Haifa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Hapoel Jerusalem FC1.14
Maccabi Haifa2.09
1X2
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Draw
Maccabi Haifa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Haifa
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
0–4–2
Maccabi Haifa
(6 last)
- Hapoel Jerusalem FC1-1Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa2-2Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Maccabi Haifa3-3Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Hapoel Jerusalem FC0-0Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa2-1Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Hapoel Jerusalem FC1-2Maccabi Haifa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Jerusalem FC 1524 · Maccabi Haifa 1550
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | Draw | Maccabi Haifa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 24% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Maccabi Haifa: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | Maccabi Haifa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.9 | 1.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Jerusalem FC 0–4–2 Maccabi Haifa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 01/11/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 17/02/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 08/11/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 07/01/24 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 03/09/23 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Maccabi Haifa |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Maccabi Haifa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Hapoel Haifa | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
| 8 | Maccabi Netanya | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 10 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 11 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | Maccabi Haifa |
|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 4-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Haifa (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Maccabi Haifa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Haifa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Haifa win (58%). Probabilities: Hapoel Jerusalem FC 19%, draw 23%, Maccabi Haifa 58%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Hapoel Jerusalem FC 1.14 · Maccabi Haifa 2.09), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.