Football · Israel League Cup · 30/07, 19:00

Prediction: SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

SC Kfar Qasim1.38

Hapoel Kfar Shalem1.7

1X2

30% 27% 43%

SC Kfar Qasim Draw Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SC Kfar Qasim 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWDDDL

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLLLWW

Head-to-head

SC Kfar Qasim 1–2–3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem (6 last)

SC Kfar Qasim0-3Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Hapoel Kfar Shalem4-1SC Kfar Qasim
SC Kfar Qasim1-1Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1-1SC Kfar Qasim
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1-4SC Kfar Qasim
SC Kfar Qasim0-1Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Kfar Qasim 1440 · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1509

	SC Kfar Qasim	Draw	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Kfar Shalem (rating 1440 vs 1509).
H2H favours Hapoel Kfar Shalem: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Kfar Qasim	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	2.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	2.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +4’	3.10	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Kfar Qasim 1–2–3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kfar Qasim	0-3 HT 0-2	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
07/11/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	4-1 HT 1-1	SC Kfar Qasim
04/02/25 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kfar Qasim	1-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
06/10/24 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1-1 HT 0-1	SC Kfar Qasim
14/08/24 Israel League Cup	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1-4 HT 1-2	SC Kfar Qasim
09/04/21 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kfar Qasim	0-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Kfar Qasim	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ironi Modiin	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Kfar Qasim	Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	2-2 D	1-4 L
Hapoel Akko	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hapoel Hadera	1-2 L	3-2 W
Hapoel Ramat Gan	1-3 L	1-2 L
Hapoel Kfar Saba	0-1 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SC Kfar Qasim (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Kfar Qasim

LLDLDWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/05	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
19/05	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
15/05	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
11/05	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
05/05	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
01/05	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
24/04	Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
17/04	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
14/04	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	0-3	1-3	8	5	L
10/04	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	10	6	L

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

WDLWLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/05	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	6-2	6	3	W
20/05	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	2-1	9	3	W
15/05	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
08/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
05/05	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-4	2	6	L
30/04	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	2-4	6	9	L
24/04	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-2	3	2	W
17/04	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-4	5	7	L
14/04	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-1	8	11	D
10/04	Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-2	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Kfar Shalem win (43%). Probabilities: SC Kfar Qasim 30%, draw 27%, Hapoel Kfar Shalem 43%.

How many goals are expected in SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?

The model expects 3.08 goals (SC Kfar Qasim 1.38 · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1.7), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Kfar Qasim vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.