Football · Israel League Cup · 03/08, 19:00
Prediction: Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Ironi Modiin
Team pages: Hapoel Kfar Shalem · Ironi Modiin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1.86
Ironi Modiin1.1
1X2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Draw
Ironi Modiin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Ironi Modiin
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3–3–0
Ironi Modiin
(6 last)
- Ironi Modiin0-0Hapoel Kfar Shalem
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem3-2Ironi Modiin
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem1-1Ironi Modiin
- Ironi Modiin0-1Hapoel Kfar Shalem
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-1Ironi Modiin
- Ironi Modiin1-1Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1477 · Ironi Modiin 1484
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Draw | Ironi Modiin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hapoel Kfar Shalem: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Ironi Modiin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.3 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 3–3–0 Ironi Modiin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Ironi Modiin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
| 20/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Ironi Modiin |
| 19/04/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 1-1 | Ironi Modiin |
| 02/02/24 Israel Liga Alef South | Ironi Modiin | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
| 12/01/23 Israel Liga Alef South | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Ironi Modiin |
| 09/09/22 Israel Liga Alef South | Ironi Modiin | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
Standings · Israel League Cup · League Cup, National 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | SC Kfar Qasim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 4 | Ironi Modiin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Ironi Modiin |
|---|---|---|
| SC Kfar Qasim | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1-4 L | 4-1 W |
| Hapoel Akko | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel League Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 24/04 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 14/04 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 11 | D |
Ironi Modiin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel League Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | MS Ashdod Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 17/04 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Ironi Modiin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Kfar Shalem win (55%). Probabilities: Hapoel Kfar Shalem 55%, draw 23%, Ironi Modiin 22%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Ironi Modiin?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1.86 · Ironi Modiin 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Ironi Modiin?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.