Football · Israel League Cup · 01/08, 19:30
Prediction: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Team pages: Ironi Tiberias · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Ironi Tiberias1.65
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona1.57
1X2
Ironi Tiberias
Draw
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ironi Tiberias
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ironi Tiberias
3–1–2
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
(6 last)
- Ironi Tiberias2-0Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona2-2Ironi Tiberias
- Ironi Tiberias2-3Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona2-1Ironi Tiberias
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona0-2Ironi Tiberias
- Ironi Tiberias3-1Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ironi Tiberias 1545 · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 1548
| Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ironi Tiberias: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ironi Tiberias 3–1–2 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Israel Premier League | Ironi Tiberias | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 14/02/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 08/11/25 Israel Premier League | Ironi Tiberias | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 10/08/25 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 19/04/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 31/12/24 Israel Premier League | Ironi Tiberias | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Maccabi Netanya | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| MS Ashdod | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ironi Tiberias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Hapoel Haifa Israel League Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel League Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Maccabi Haifa Israel League Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Kiryat Shmona?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ironi Tiberias win (38%). Probabilities: Ironi Tiberias 38%, draw 27%, Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 35%.
How many goals are expected in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Kiryat Shmona?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Ironi Tiberias 1.65 · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 1.57), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Kiryat Shmona?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.