Prediction: Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Brest
Expected goals: 2.7 (Naftan Novopolotsk 1.18 · Dinamo Brest 1.52). The model gives 28% home, 28% draw, 44% away. Under 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Naftan Novopolotsk with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Dinamo Brest has piled up 4-3-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Naftan Novopolotsk won 0 and Dinamo Brest 3, with 3 draws.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Brest (rating 1416 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Dinamo Brest: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Naftan Novopolotsk | Dinamo Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.3 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4 | – / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naftan Novopolotsk 0–3–3 Dinamo Brest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/25 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Brest | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 30/03/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Dinamo Brest |
| 15/09/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 3-6 HT 2-1 | Dinamo Brest |
| 26/04/24 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Brest | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 09/02/24 Club Friendly List | Dinamo Brest | 8-0 HT 5-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 16/09/23 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Brest | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maxline Rogachev | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Isloch | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Zhodino | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Neman Grodno | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Dinamo Brest | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Vitebsk | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 12 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 10 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Naftan Novopolotsk | Dinamo Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Maxline Rogachev | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Baranovichi | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| BATE Borisov | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| FC Minsk | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Vitebsk | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Neman Grodno | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Brest (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Dinamo Brest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Brest?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Brest win (44%). Probabilities: Naftan Novopolotsk 28%, draw 28%, Dinamo Brest 44%.
How many goals are expected in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Brest?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Naftan Novopolotsk 1.18 · Dinamo Brest 1.52), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Brest?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.