Football · Belarus Premier League · 11/07, 19:45
Prediction: FK Gomel vs Neman Grodno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
FK Gomel1.66
Neman Grodno0.65
1X2
FK Gomel
Draw
Neman Grodno
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FK Gomel
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Neman Grodno
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Gomel
2–2–2
Neman Grodno
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Gomel (rating 1534 vs 1438).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Gomel | Neman Grodno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Gomel 2–2–2 Neman Grodno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/25 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Neman Grodno |
| 30/03/25 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Gomel |
| 11/08/24 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Gomel |
| 31/03/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Neman Grodno |
| 25/01/24 Europe Friendlies | Neman Grodno | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Gomel |
| 22/08/23 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FK Gomel |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | Torpedo Zhodino | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | Dinamo Brest | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 9 | FC Minsk | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| 10 | FC Vitebsk | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | Slavia Mozyr | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 15 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 13 |
| 13 | Dnepr Mogilev | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 11 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Gomel | Neman Grodno |
|---|---|---|
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Yenisey | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Maxline Rogachev | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Isloch | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Gomel (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Gomel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | FK Yenisey Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 14/05 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Neman Grodno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Yenisey Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Gomel vs Neman Grodno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Gomel win (61%). Probabilities: FK Gomel 61%, draw 26%, Neman Grodno 13%.
How many goals are expected in FK Gomel vs Neman Grodno?
The model expects 2.32 goals (FK Gomel 1.66 · Neman Grodno 0.65), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Gomel vs Neman Grodno?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.