Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 09/10, 20:15
Prediction: Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau
Team pages: Stade Nyonnais · Aarau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Stade Nyonnais1.61
Aarau1.59
1X2
Stade Nyonnais
Draw
Aarau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Stade Nyonnais
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Aarau
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stade Nyonnais
1–2–3
Aarau
(6 last)
- Aarau2-1Stade Nyonnais
- Aarau5-1Stade Nyonnais
- Stade Nyonnais1-1Aarau
- Aarau0-1Stade Nyonnais
- Stade Nyonnais4-5Aarau
- Aarau1-1Stade Nyonnais
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aarau (rating 1420 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Aarau: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stade Nyonnais | Aarau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.5 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 3.2 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Nyonnais 1–2–3 Aarau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Stade Nyonnais |
| 08/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 5-1 HT 5-1 | Stade Nyonnais |
| 20/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Nyonnais | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Aarau |
| 22/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stade Nyonnais |
| 22/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Nyonnais | 4-5 HT 1-2 | Aarau |
| 23/05/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Stade Nyonnais |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport FC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
| 5 | Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 6 | Neuchatel Xamax | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | Etoile Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | Wil 1900 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stade Nyonnais | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Wil 1900 | 0-5 L | 2-2 D |
| Neuchatel Xamax | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Yverdon Sport FC | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Winterthur | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Kriens | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Etoile Carouge | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 6 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Aarau (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stade Nyonnais
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Aarau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Nyonnais win (38%). Probabilities: Stade Nyonnais 38%, draw 26%, Aarau 37%.
How many goals are expected in Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Stade Nyonnais 1.61 · Aarau 1.59), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.