Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 09/10, 20:15
Prediction: Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport FC
Team pages: Etoile Carouge · Yverdon Sport FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Etoile Carouge1.44
Yverdon Sport FC1.58
1X2
Etoile Carouge
Draw
Yverdon Sport FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Etoile Carouge
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Yverdon Sport FC
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Etoile Carouge
3–2–1
Yverdon Sport FC
(6 last)
- Yverdon Sport FC1-1Etoile Carouge
- Yverdon Sport FC3-5Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge2-2Yverdon Sport FC
- Yverdon Sport FC2-0Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge2-1Yverdon Sport FC
- Etoile Carouge2-0Yverdon Sport FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yverdon Sport FC (rating 1489 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Etoile Carouge: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Etoile Carouge | Yverdon Sport FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.2 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Etoile Carouge 3–2–1 Yverdon Sport FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Yverdon Sport FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Etoile Carouge |
| 03/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Yverdon Sport FC | 3-5 HT 2-2 | Etoile Carouge |
| 20/02/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Yverdon Sport FC |
| 30/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Yverdon Sport FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Etoile Carouge |
| 12/09/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Yverdon Sport FC |
| 05/06/21 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Etoile Carouge | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Yverdon Sport FC |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport FC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
| 5 | Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 6 | Neuchatel Xamax | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | Etoile Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 9 | Wil 1900 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Etoile Carouge | Yverdon Sport FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kriens | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Winterthur | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Wil 1900 | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Stade Nyonnais | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Neuchatel Xamax | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Aarau | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Yverdon Sport FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Etoile Carouge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/09 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
Yverdon Sport FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 11/09 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/09 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yverdon Sport FC win (40%). Probabilities: Etoile Carouge 34%, draw 26%, Yverdon Sport FC 40%.
How many goals are expected in Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport FC?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Etoile Carouge 1.44 · Yverdon Sport FC 1.58), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Etoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.