Football · Japan J2-League · 31/10, 06:00
Prediction: Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu
Team pages: Jubilo Iwata · Sagan Tosu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Jubilo Iwata1.39
Sagan Tosu0.93
1X2
Jubilo Iwata
Draw
Sagan Tosu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Jubilo Iwata
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Sagan Tosu
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jubilo Iwata
3–3
Sagan Tosu
(6 last)
- Sagan Tosu1-2Jubilo Iwata
- Jubilo Iwata1-0Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu3-0Jubilo Iwata
- Jubilo Iwata0-3Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu0-2Jubilo Iwata
- Jubilo Iwata1-2Sagan Tosu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jubilo Iwata | Sagan Tosu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.1 | 3.1 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jubilo Iwata 3–0–3 Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Japan J2-League | Sagan Tosu | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Jubilo Iwata |
| 22/02/25 Japan J2-League | Jubilo Iwata | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 08/12/24 Japan J-League | Sagan Tosu | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Jubilo Iwata |
| 11/05/24 Japan J-League | Jubilo Iwata | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sagan Tosu |
| 24/05/23 Japan J-League Cup | Sagan Tosu | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Jubilo Iwata |
| 05/04/23 Japan J-League Cup | Jubilo Iwata | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sagan Tosu |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Oita | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Shonan Bellmare | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 9 | Sagan Tosu | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | Tokushima Vortis | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Iwaki FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 13 | Blaublitz Akita | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 14 | Fujieda MYFC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 15 | Jubilo Iwata | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 14 |
| 17 | Montedio Yamagata | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jubilo Iwata | Sagan Tosu |
|---|---|---|
| Iwaki FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Vanraure Hachinohe | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Albirex Niigata | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sagan Tosu (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jubilo Iwata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 29/08 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jubilo Iwata win (46%). Probabilities: Jubilo Iwata 46%, draw 30%, Sagan Tosu 24%.
How many goals are expected in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Jubilo Iwata 1.39 · Sagan Tosu 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.