Football · Japan J2-League · 03/11, 05:55
Prediction: Kataller Toyama vs Vegalta Sendai
Team pages: Kataller Toyama · Vegalta Sendai
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Kataller Toyama1.35
Vegalta Sendai1.42
1X2
Kataller Toyama
Draw
Vegalta Sendai
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kataller Toyama
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Vegalta Sendai
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kataller Toyama
2–1–2
Vegalta Sendai
(5 last)
- Vegalta Sendai1-1Kataller Toyama
- Vegalta Sendai0-1Kataller Toyama
- Vegalta Sendai0-1Kataller Toyama
- Kataller Toyama0-1Vegalta Sendai
- Kataller Toyama0-1Vegalta Sendai
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kataller Toyama 1539 · Vegalta Sendai 1533
| Kataller Toyama | Draw | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kataller Toyama | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kataller Toyama 2–1–2 Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League | Vegalta Sendai | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kataller Toyama |
| 05/07/25 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kataller Toyama |
| 11/06/25 Japan FA Cup | Vegalta Sendai | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kataller Toyama |
| 30/03/25 Japan J2-League | Kataller Toyama | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 14/08/19 Japan Cup | Kataller Toyama | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Iwaki FC | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 20 |
| 9 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Oita | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 19 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 19 |
| 12 | Blaublitz Akita | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 13 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 17 |
| 14 | Tokushima Vortis | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 17 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 14 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kataller Toyama | Vegalta Sendai |
|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Omiya Ardija | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Shonan Bellmare | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Tochigi City | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Jubilo Iwata | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kataller Toyama
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 21/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 21/10 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kataller Toyama vs Vegalta Sendai?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vegalta Sendai win (38%). Probabilities: Kataller Toyama 35%, draw 27%, Vegalta Sendai 38%.
How many goals are expected in Kataller Toyama vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Kataller Toyama 1.35 · Vegalta Sendai 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kataller Toyama vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.