Prediction: Hudson Valley Hammers vs Manhattan SC
Expected goals: 4.32 (Hudson Valley Hammers 2.56 · Manhattan SC 1.76). The model gives 55% home, 20% draw, 26% away. Over 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Hudson Valley Hammers with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Manhattan SC has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hudson Valley Hammers won 2 and Manhattan SC 3, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hudson Valley Hammers (rating 1550 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Manhattan SC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hudson Valley Hammers | Manhattan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 2 | 2.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hudson Valley Hammers 2–1–3 Manhattan SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 USA USL League Two | Manhattan SC | 3-3 HT 3-1 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 12/06/25 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Manhattan SC |
| 07/07/24 USA USL League Two | Manhattan SC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 23/06/24 USA USL League Two | Hudson Valley Hammers | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Manhattan SC |
| 16/07/23 USA USL League Two | Manhattan SC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
| 12/06/22 USA USL League Two | Manhattan SC | 5-4 HT 2-1 | Hudson Valley Hammers |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironbound | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Motown STA | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Long Island Rough Riders | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Hudson Valley Hammers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 16 |
| 5 | Cedar Stars Rush | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 16 |
| 6 | Manhattan SC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 11 |
| 7 | New Jersey Copa | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 7 |
| 8 | Staten Island ASC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 7 |
| 9 | Morris Elite | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 6 |
| 10 | Westchester Flames | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hudson Valley Hammers | Manhattan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Morris Elite | 4-3 W | 5-1 W |
| Westchester Flames | 3-0 W | 0-5 L |
| FC Motown STA | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Staten Island ASC | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Long Island Rough Riders | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hudson Valley Hammers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hudson Valley Hammers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/05 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/07 | Ocean City Nor'easters USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Manhattan SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 17/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 28/05 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/05 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hudson Valley Hammers vs Manhattan SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hudson Valley Hammers win (55%). Probabilities: Hudson Valley Hammers 55%, draw 20%, Manhattan SC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Hudson Valley Hammers vs Manhattan SC?
The model expects 4.32 goals (Hudson Valley Hammers 2.56 · Manhattan SC 1.76), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Hudson Valley Hammers vs Manhattan SC?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.