Football · USA USL League Two · 05/07, 22:00

Prediction: Project 51O vs Davis Legacy

Expected goals: 3.8 (Project 51O 2.54 · Davis Legacy 1.26). The model gives 64% home, 20% draw, 16% away. Over 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, Project 51O is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Davis Legacy 2-3-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Project 51O and 1 for Davis Legacy.

64%1
64% 20% 16%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Project 51O 1572 · Davis Legacy 1457
Project 51ODrawDavis Legacy
Our model64%19%17%
Market64%20%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.8Project 51O 2.54 · Davis Legacy 1.26
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 55%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Project 51O (rating 1572 vs 1457).
  • H2H favours Project 51O: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Project 51ODavis Legacy
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.51.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.50.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 33.7 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.54.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Project 51O 501 Davis Legacy

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/06/26
USA USL League Two
Davis Legacy1-2
HT 1-1
Project 51O
07/06/25
USA USL League Two
Project 51O4-0
HT 1-0
Davis Legacy
29/05/25
USA USL League Two
Davis Legacy3-0
HT 0-0
Project 51O
13/06/24
USA USL League Two
Project 51O3-1
HT 1-0
Davis Legacy
26/05/24
USA USL League Two
Davis Legacy2-5
HT 1-4
Project 51O
09/06/23
USA USL League Two
Davis Legacy1-2
HT 0-1
Project 51O

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Norcal Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Francisco City FC 11911 341428
2 Project 51O 11812 271525
3 Almaden SC 12723 241223
4 San Francisco Glens SC 11515 121416
5 Academica SC 11335 232612
6 Davis Legacy 11236 17249
7 Marin FC Legends 11227 22358
8 San Juan FC 12138 13326

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentProject 51ODavis Legacy
San Francisco City FC 4-2 W 0-3 L
Almaden SC 1-2 L 2-2 D
Academica SC 5-3 W 1-4 L
San Francisco Glens SC 2-1 W 1-2 L
San Juan FC 3-1 W 2-2 D
Marin FC Legends 5-2 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Project 51O (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Project 51O

LWDWWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 San Francisco City FC
USA USL League Two
3-1 4-2 14 W
28/06 Almaden SC
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-2 L
25/06 Davis Legacy
USA USL League Two
1-1 2-1 W
21/06 Academica SC
USA USL League Two
3-1 5-3 W
14/06 San Francisco Glens SC
USA USL League Two
2-0 2-1 13 W
12/06 San Juan FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 3-1 86 W
04/06 Marin FC Legends
USA USL League Two
2-0 5-2 W
23/05 San Francisco Glens SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-1 25 D
21/05 San Juan FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 05 W
14/05 Almaden SC
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-2 62 L

Davis Legacy

DLDWLLWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Academica SC
USA USL League Two
1-3 1-4 64 L
28/06 San Juan FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 2-2 D
25/06 Project 51O
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-2 L
18/06 Marin FC Legends
USA USL League Two
0-1 3-1 W
04/06 San Francisco Glens SC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-2 64 L
27/05 San Francisco Glens SC
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-1 54 L
24/05 Marin FC Legends
USA USL League Two
2-1 4-2 53 W
23/05 Almaden SC
USA USL League Two
0-2 2-2 147 D
18/05 San Francisco City FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-3 115 L
14/05 Academica SC
USA USL League Two
2-2 3-3 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Project 51O vs Davis Legacy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Project 51O win (64%). Probabilities: Project 51O 64%, draw 20%, Davis Legacy 16%.

How many goals are expected in Project 51O vs Davis Legacy?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Project 51O 2.54 · Davis Legacy 1.26), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Project 51O vs Davis Legacy?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.