Prediction: FC Miami City vs Miami AC
Expected goals: 3.46 (FC Miami City 1.68 · Miami AC 1.78). The model gives 36% home, 24% draw, 40% away. Over 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, FC Miami City is 1-3-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Miami AC 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for FC Miami City and 1 for Miami AC, with 3 draws.
| FC Miami City | Draw | Miami AC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miami AC (rating 1428 vs 1497).
- H2H favours FC Miami City: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Miami City | Miami AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.3 / 3 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Miami City 2–3–1 Miami AC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 USA USL League Two | Miami AC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Miami City |
| 03/07/25 USA USL League Two | FC Miami City | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Miami AC |
| 26/06/25 USA USL League Two | Miami AC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | FC Miami City |
| 10/07/23 USA USL League Two | Miami AC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Miami City |
| 06/07/23 USA USL League Two | FC Miami City | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Miami AC |
| 18/06/23 USA USL League Two | Miami AC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Miami City |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Florida Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Lauderdale Utd | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
| 2 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 3 | Miami AC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 4 | Weston FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
| 5 | Brevard Fire SC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 8 |
| 6 | FC Miami City | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Miami City | Miami AC |
|---|---|---|
| Fort Lauderdale Utd | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Weston FC | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Brevard Fire SC | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Lakeland United FC USL 2 | 3-2 W | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Miami City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/06 | Miami AC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 07/06 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/05 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 21/05 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
Miami AC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Miami City USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/06 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/06 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Fort Lauderdale Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Brevard Fire SC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/05 | Lakeland United FC USL 2 USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Weston FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Miami City vs Miami AC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Miami AC win (40%). Probabilities: FC Miami City 36%, draw 24%, Miami AC 40%.
How many goals are expected in FC Miami City vs Miami AC?
The model expects 3.46 goals (FC Miami City 1.68 · Miami AC 1.78), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Miami City vs Miami AC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.