Football · USA USL League Two · 06/07, 23:00

Prediction: Lansing City Football vs Flint City Bucks

Expected goals: 4.33 (Lansing City Football 1.17 · Flint City Bucks 3.17). The model gives 7% home, 10% draw, 83% away. Under 4.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-3.

On recent form, Lansing City Football is 2-0-8 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Flint City Bucks 8-1-1 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Lansing City Football won 1 and Flint City Bucks 4, with 1 draw.

83%2
7% 10% 83%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lansing City Football 1416 · Flint City Bucks 1600
Lansing City FootballDrawFlint City Bucks
Our model10%14%76%
Market4%7%89%
Estimated total (ours) 4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.33Lansing City Football 1.17 · Flint City Bucks 3.17
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flint City Bucks (rating 1416 vs 1600).
  • H2H favours Flint City Bucks: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lansing City FootballFlint City Bucks
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 3.42.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.31.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.83.7 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.23.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lansing City Football 114 Flint City Bucks

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/05/26
USA USL League Two
Flint City Bucks2-1
HT 2-1
Lansing City Football
13/07/25
USA USL League Two
Flint City Bucks4-0
HT 2-0
Lansing City Football
11/06/25
USA USL League Two
Lansing City Football0-5
HT 0-2
Flint City Bucks
16/06/24
USA USL League Two
Lansing City Football0-3
HT 0-1
Flint City Bucks
26/05/24
USA USL League Two
Flint City Bucks0-0
HT 0-0
Lansing City Football
13/07/23
USA USL League Two
Lansing City Football1-0
HT 0-0
Flint City Bucks

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Lakes Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Flint City Bucks 10811 281025
2 Oakland County FC 11623 251320
3 Kalamazoo FC 10514 251916
4 AFC Ann Arbor 10505 182315
5 Midwest United 10415 191413
6 Union FC Macomb 9216 16287
7 Lansing City Football 10208 11356

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLansing City FootballFlint City Bucks
AFC Ann Arbor 2-5 L 1-2 L
Union FC Macomb 3-2 W 3-2 W
Midwest United 1-5 L 4-1 W
Kalamazoo FC 0-7 L 2-0 W
Oakland County FC 0-6 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Flint City Bucks (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lansing City Football

LWLLLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 AFC Ann Arbor
USA USL League Two
1-2 2-5 54 L
24/06 Union FC Macomb
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-2 16 W
19/06 Midwest United
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-5 08 L
12/06 Kalamazoo FC
USA USL League Two
0-3 0-7 L
07/06 Oakland County FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-6 L
29/05 Oakland County FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-1 L
24/05 AFC Ann Arbor
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-2 67 L
20/05 Flint City Bucks
USA USL League Two
1-2 1-2 24 L
17/05 Midwest United
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W
13/07 Flint City Bucks
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-4 L

Flint City Bucks

WWWWWWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Kalamazoo FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 2-0 W
01/07 Midwest United
USA USL League Two
2-1 4-1 W
28/06 Oakland County FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-1 D
25/06 AFC Ann Arbor
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-2 104 L
14/06 Oakland County FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 2-1 W
11/06 AFC Ann Arbor
USA USL League Two
1-0 4-1 W
07/06 Midwest United
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-1 W
31/05 Kalamazoo FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 7-0 43 W
24/05 Union FC Macomb
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-2 W
20/05 Lansing City Football
USA USL League Two
2-1 2-1 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lansing City Football vs Flint City Bucks?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Flint City Bucks win (83%). Probabilities: Lansing City Football 7%, draw 10%, Flint City Bucks 83%.

How many goals are expected in Lansing City Football vs Flint City Bucks?

The model expects 4.33 goals (Lansing City Football 1.17 · Flint City Bucks 3.17), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lansing City Football vs Flint City Bucks?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.