Prediction: Virginia Marauders vs Bethesda SC
Expected goals: 3.9 (Virginia Marauders 1.46 · Bethesda SC 2.44). The model gives 21% home, 20% draw, 59% away. Under 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, Virginia Marauders is 1-0-9 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Bethesda SC 5-2-3 over its own.
| Virginia Marauders | Draw | Bethesda SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 20% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 20% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bethesda SC (rating 1386 vs 1530).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virginia Marauders | Bethesda SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 3.2 | 2.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Chesapeake Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lionsbridge FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Virginia Beach Utd | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 23 |
| 3 | Charlottesville Blues | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | Bethesda SC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 22 | 17 |
| 5 | Christos FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 31 | 20 |
| 6 | Annapolis Blues | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 19 |
| 7 | Hill City FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 18 |
| 8 | Loudoun United FC II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 16 |
| 9 | Northern Virginia FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 15 |
| 10 | Virginia Marauders | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 3 |
| 11 | Patuxent Football Athletics | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 43 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virginia Marauders | Bethesda SC |
|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Blues | 1-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Loudoun United FC II | 0-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Charlottesville Blues | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Virginia Beach Utd | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Patuxent Football Athletics | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Christos FC | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Hill City FC | 1-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bethesda SC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virginia Marauders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Lionsbridge FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Bethesda SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Charlottesville Blues USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Patuxent Football Athletics USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/06 | Annapolis Blues USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Loudoun United FC II USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Christos FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Virginia Beach Utd USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Hill City FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Northern Virginia FC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virginia Marauders vs Bethesda SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bethesda SC win (59%). Probabilities: Virginia Marauders 21%, draw 20%, Bethesda SC 59%.
How many goals are expected in Virginia Marauders vs Bethesda SC?
The model expects 3.9 goals (Virginia Marauders 1.46 · Bethesda SC 2.44), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Virginia Marauders vs Bethesda SC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.