Football · USA USL League Two · 06/07, 01:30

Prediction: East Atlanta FC vs Birmingham Legion FC Futures

Expected goals: 3.25 (East Atlanta FC 1.86 · Birmingham Legion FC Futures 1.4). The model gives 48% home, 24% draw, 28% away. Under 3.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, East Atlanta FC sits at 1-3-6 (W-D-L), while Birmingham Legion FC Futures arrives on a 1-4-5 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, East Atlanta FC won 1 and Birmingham Legion FC Futures 0, with 3 draws.

48%1
48% 24% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · East Atlanta FC 1439 · Birmingham Legion FC Futures 1460
East Atlanta FCDrawBirmingham Legion FC Futures
Our model47%25%28%
Market48%23%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.25East Atlanta FC 1.86 · Birmingham Legion FC Futures 1.4
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

East Atlanta FCBirmingham Legion FC Futures
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.11.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.90.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 4.61 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · East Atlanta FC 130 Birmingham Legion FC Futures

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
USA USL League Two
Birmingham Legion FC Futures1-1
HT 0-0
East Atlanta FC
29/06/25
USA USL League Two
East Atlanta FC1-0
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion FC Futures
13/06/24
USA USL League Two
East Atlanta FC2-2
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion FC Futures
15/05/24
USA USL League Two
Birmingham Legion FC Futures1-1
HT 0-0
East Atlanta FC

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, South Central Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Dothan United 10721 22823
2 Swarm FC 10640 27822
3 Columbus United FC 10262 131912
4 Montgomery United FC 10244 161910
5 Apotheos 10235 11199
6 Birmingham Legion FC Futures 9144 10187
7 East Atlanta FC 9135 11196

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEast Atlanta FCBirmingham Legion FC Futures
Apotheos 3-0 W 1-0 W
Swarm FC 1-3 L 1-3 L
Montgomery United FC 1-2 L 2-2 D
Dothan United 1-4 L 0-2 L
Columbus United FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Birmingham Legion FC Futures (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

East Atlanta FC

LDDLDLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Apotheos
USA USL League Two
1-0 3-0 33 W
21/06 Swarm FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-3 L
18/06 Montgomery United FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-2 L
14/06 Dothan United
USA USL League Two
1-2 1-4 L
07/06 Apotheos
USA USL League Two
0-2 2-4 75 L
31/05 Montgomery United FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-1 42 D
24/05 Dothan United
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-4 L
21/05 Columbus United FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-0 55 D
17/05 Birmingham Legion FC Futures
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-1 D
13/07 Montgomery United FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-2 43 L

Birmingham Legion FC Futures

LDLDLLLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Columbus United FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-1 D
21/06 Apotheos
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-0 24 W
18/06 Columbus United FC
USA USL League Two
3-0 3-3 D
13/06 Apotheos
USA USL League Two
1-1 1-2 31 L
11/06 Dothan United
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-2 12 L
07/06 Swarm FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-3 64 L
04/06 Montgomery United FC
USA USL League Two
1-1 2-2 46 D
28/05 Dothan United
USA USL League Two
0-3 0-4 L
17/05 East Atlanta FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-1 D
10/07 Tennessee SC
USA USL League Two
1-2 2-3 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in East Atlanta FC vs Birmingham Legion FC Futures?

According to our model, the most likely result is a East Atlanta FC win (48%). Probabilities: East Atlanta FC 48%, draw 24%, Birmingham Legion FC Futures 28%.

How many goals are expected in East Atlanta FC vs Birmingham Legion FC Futures?

The model expects 3.25 goals (East Atlanta FC 1.86 · Birmingham Legion FC Futures 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in East Atlanta FC vs Birmingham Legion FC Futures?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.