Prediction: Black Rock FC vs Seacoast United Phantoms
Expected goals: 3.4 (Black Rock FC 2.07 · Seacoast United Phantoms 1.33). The model gives 54% home, 23% draw, 23% away. Over 3.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Black Rock FC is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Seacoast United Phantoms 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Black Rock FC and 3 for Seacoast United Phantoms, with 1 draw.
| Black Rock FC | Draw | Seacoast United Phantoms | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 23% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Seacoast United Phantoms: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Black Rock FC | Seacoast United Phantoms | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Black Rock FC 2–1–3 Seacoast United Phantoms
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Black Rock FC |
| 01/07/25 USA USL League Two | Black Rock FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 04/06/25 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Black Rock FC |
| 01/07/24 USA USL League Two | Seacoast United Phantoms | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Black Rock FC |
| 04/06/24 USA USL League Two | Black Rock FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
| 30/06/23 USA USL League Two | Black Rock FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Seacoast United Phantoms |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northeast Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vermont Green | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 8 | 34 |
| 2 | New England FC | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Western Mass Pioneers | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Black Rock FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | Albany Rush | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 32 | 19 |
| 6 | Seacoast United Phantoms | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25 | 13 |
| 7 | Connecticut Rush | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | Boston Bolts | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 11 |
| 9 | AC Connecticut | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 6 |
| 10 | Boston City FC | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 45 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Black Rock FC | Seacoast United Phantoms |
|---|---|---|
| Western Mass Pioneers | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Vermont Green | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| AC Connecticut | 2-1 W | 4-3 W |
| Albany Rush | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| New England FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Boston Bolts | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Black Rock FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Seacoast United Phantoms USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 07/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 04/06 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Seacoast United Phantoms
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Boston City FC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 5-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Black Rock FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/06 | Boston Bolts USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/06 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | AC Connecticut USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | New England FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Albany Rush USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Connecticut Rush USA USL League Two |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 21/05 | Western Mass Pioneers USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Black Rock FC vs Seacoast United Phantoms?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Black Rock FC win (54%). Probabilities: Black Rock FC 54%, draw 23%, Seacoast United Phantoms 23%.
How many goals are expected in Black Rock FC vs Seacoast United Phantoms?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Black Rock FC 2.07 · Seacoast United Phantoms 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Black Rock FC vs Seacoast United Phantoms?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.