Prediction: Cedar Stars Rush vs Long Island Rough Riders
Expected goals: 3.31 (Cedar Stars Rush 1.23 · Long Island Rough Riders 2.08). The model gives 22% home, 22% draw, 56% away. Under 3.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Cedar Stars Rush is 6-1-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Long Island Rough Riders 7-2-1 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Cedar Stars Rush and 5 for Long Island Rough Riders.
| Cedar Stars Rush | Draw | Long Island Rough Riders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 21% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Long Island Rough Riders (rating 1528 vs 1580).
- H2H favours Long Island Rough Riders: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cedar Stars Rush | Long Island Rough Riders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 2.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 3.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.7 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cedar Stars Rush 1–0–5 Long Island Rough Riders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 USA USL League Two | Long Island Rough Riders | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 29/05/25 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Long Island Rough Riders |
| 30/06/24 USA USL League Two | Long Island Rough Riders | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 02/07/23 USA USL League Two | Cedar Stars Rush | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Long Island Rough Riders |
| 19/06/23 USA USL League Two | Long Island Rough Riders | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Cedar Stars Rush |
| 13/06/22 USA USL League Two | Long Island Rough Riders | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Cedar Stars Rush |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Metropolitan Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironbound | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Motown STA | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Long Island Rough Riders | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Hudson Valley Hammers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 16 |
| 5 | Cedar Stars Rush | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 16 |
| 6 | Manhattan SC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 11 |
| 7 | New Jersey Copa | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 7 |
| 8 | Staten Island ASC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 7 |
| 9 | Morris Elite | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 6 |
| 10 | Westchester Flames | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cedar Stars Rush | Long Island Rough Riders |
|---|---|---|
| Westchester Flames | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Morris Elite | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ironbound | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Staten Island ASC | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| New Jersey Copa | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Motown STA | 3-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Manhattan SC | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 5 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Long Island Rough Riders (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cedar Stars Rush
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 26/06 | Long Island Rough Riders USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Long Island Rough Riders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Cedar Stars Rush USA USL League Two |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Westchester Flames USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/06 | Manhattan SC USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Motown STA USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/06 | Morris Elite USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/06 | Hudson Valley Hammers USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Ironbound USA USL League Two |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/05 | Staten Island ASC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | New Jersey Copa USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cedar Stars Rush vs Long Island Rough Riders?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Long Island Rough Riders win (56%). Probabilities: Cedar Stars Rush 22%, draw 22%, Long Island Rough Riders 56%.
How many goals are expected in Cedar Stars Rush vs Long Island Rough Riders?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Cedar Stars Rush 1.23 · Long Island Rough Riders 2.08), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cedar Stars Rush vs Long Island Rough Riders?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.