Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 11/10, 15:30

Prediction: MFK Ruzomberok vs MSK Zilina

Team pages: MFK Ruzomberok · MSK Zilina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

MFK Ruzomberok1.42

MSK Zilina1.96

1X2

27% 24% 49%

MFK Ruzomberok Draw MSK Zilina

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Ruzomberok 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLDWL

MSK Zilina 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWWWDW

Head-to-head

MFK Ruzomberok 2–3–1 MSK Zilina (6 last)

MSK Zilina1-2MFK Ruzomberok
MFK Ruzomberok3-3MSK Zilina
MFK Ruzomberok1-0MSK Zilina
MSK Zilina3-1MFK Ruzomberok
MFK Ruzomberok1-1MSK Zilina
MSK Zilina0-0MFK Ruzomberok

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Ruzomberok 1487 · MSK Zilina 1562

	MFK Ruzomberok	Draw	MSK Zilina
Our model	27%	24%	49%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSK Zilina (rating 1487 vs 1562).
H2H favours MFK Ruzomberok: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Ruzomberok	MSK Zilina
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	2.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.4	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.75

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.90 → 1.90	Pinn 2.15 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:55 +2’	3.50	3.75	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:04 +232’	3.02	3.69	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Ruzomberok 2–3–1 MSK Zilina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	1-2 HT 1-1	MFK Ruzomberok
31/08/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	3-3 HT 3-1	MSK Zilina
03/11/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	1-0 HT 1-0	MSK Zilina
29/10/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	3-1 HT 1-0	MFK Ruzomberok
11/05/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	1-1 HT 1-0	MSK Zilina
12/04/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Ruzomberok

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	8	6	2	0	25	5	20
2	MSK Zilina	9	6	2	1	23	17	20
3	FC Spartak Trnava	9	5	3	1	21	10	18
4	Slovan Bratislava	8	5	1	2	20	9	16
5	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	9	4	2	3	13	16	14
6	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	9	4	1	4	9	11	13
7	FC Kosice	8	3	3	2	21	18	12
8	MFK Skalica	9	2	2	5	11	19	8
9	Dukla Banska Bystrica	9	2	1	6	9	21	7
10	AS Trencin	8	1	2	5	10	20	5
11	KFC Komarno	9	0	5	4	8	14	5
12	MFK Ruzomberok	9	1	2	6	8	18	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Ruzomberok	MSK Zilina
FC Kosice	0-2 L	4-4 D
MFK Zemplin Michalovce	3-0 W	1-0 W
FC Spartak Trnava	1-1 D	3-1 W
AS Trencin	1-2 L	2-1 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica	0-1 L	4-3 W
Slovan Bratislava	0-5 L	3-3 D
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	1-4 L	3-1 W
MFK Skalica	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Zilina (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Ruzomberok

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	3	10	L
12/09	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
06/09	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	4	9	D
29/08	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	9	7	L
22/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
15/08	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-5	2	1	L
08/08	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	1-4	5	8	L
01/08	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	1-2	9	6	L
26/07	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
16/05	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

MSK Zilina

LDWLWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
13/09	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	3-3	2	6	D
05/09	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
30/08	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	2-1	3-1	1	5	W
23/08	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	14	6	W
15/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	4-3	4	4	W
09/08	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
02/08	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
26/07	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	4-4	7	3	D
16/05	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Ruzomberok vs MSK Zilina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MSK Zilina win (49%). Probabilities: MFK Ruzomberok 27%, draw 24%, MSK Zilina 49%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Ruzomberok vs MSK Zilina?

The model expects 3.38 goals (MFK Ruzomberok 1.42 · MSK Zilina 1.96), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Ruzomberok vs MSK Zilina?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.