Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 18/10, 15:30
Prediction: Dukla Banska Bystrica vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
Team pages: Dukla Banska Bystrica · FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Dukla Banska Bystrica1.22
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova1.71
1X2
Dukla Banska Bystrica
Draw
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Dukla Banska Bystrica
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dukla Banska Bystrica
1–3–2
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
(6 last)
- Dukla Banska Bystrica1-2FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
- Dukla Banska Bystrica3-1FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
- Dukla Banska Bystrica0-0FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
- Dukla Banska Bystrica0-2FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
- FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova1-1Dukla Banska Bystrica
- FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova2-2Dukla Banska Bystrica
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dukla Banska Bystrica 1511 · FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 1554
| Dukla Banska Bystrica | Draw | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 25% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova (rating 1511 vs 1554).
- H2H favours FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dukla Banska Bystrica | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dukla Banska Bystrica 1–3–2 FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Europe Friendlies | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova |
| 21/06/25 Europe Friendlies | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova |
| 18/01/25 Europe Friendlies | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova |
| 07/12/24 Slovakia Super Liga | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova |
| 31/08/24 Slovakia Super Liga | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dukla Banska Bystrica |
| 27/10/23 Slovakia Super Liga | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Dukla Banska Bystrica |
Standings · Slovakia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | MSK Zilina | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 19 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Spartak Trnava | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 20 |
| 5 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Kosice | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | 13 |
| 7 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 10 |
| 9 | MFK Skalica | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 9 |
| 10 | MFK Ruzomberok | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 9 |
| 11 | AS Trencin | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 8 |
| 12 | KFC Komarno | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dukla Banska Bystrica | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova |
|---|---|---|
| AS Trencin | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| MFK Skalica | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Kosice | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| KFC Komarno | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| MFK Ruzomberok | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| MSK Zilina | 3-4 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Spartak Trnava | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Dunajska Streda | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Slovan Bratislava | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 6 L | 4 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dukla Banska Bystrica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga |
0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 10 | 0 | L |
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 20/09 | MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dukla Banska Bystrica vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova win (48%). Probabilities: Dukla Banska Bystrica 27%, draw 25%, FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 48%.
How many goals are expected in Dukla Banska Bystrica vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Dukla Banska Bystrica 1.22 · FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 1.71), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dukla Banska Bystrica vs FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.