Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs Dunajska Streda

Team pages: MFK Zemplin Michalovce · Dunajska Streda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

MFK Zemplin Michalovce1.11

Dunajska Streda2.15

1X2

18% 22% 60%

MFK Zemplin Michalovce Draw Dunajska Streda

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Zemplin Michalovce 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWWWLW

Dunajska Streda 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

MFK Zemplin Michalovce 1–1–4 Dunajska Streda (6 last)

MFK Zemplin Michalovce2-1Dunajska Streda
Dunajska Streda3-0MFK Zemplin Michalovce
Dunajska Streda3-0MFK Zemplin Michalovce
MFK Zemplin Michalovce2-4Dunajska Streda
Dunajska Streda1-1MFK Zemplin Michalovce
Dunajska Streda2-1MFK Zemplin Michalovce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Zemplin Michalovce 1534 · Dunajska Streda 1626

	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	Draw	Dunajska Streda
Our model	18%	22%	60%
Market	18%	22%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunajska Streda (rating 1534 vs 1626).
H2H favours Dunajska Streda: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	Dunajska Streda
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	2.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.7	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.4	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.10

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.53 → 1.53	Pinn 1.63 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:47 +11’	5.25	4.10	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:17 +41’	4.82	4.15	1.60
06:25 +78’	4.70▼	4.09▼	1.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Zemplin Michalovce 1–1–4 Dunajska Streda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	2-1 HT 0-0	Dunajska Streda
12/04/26 Slovakia Super Liga	Dunajska Streda	3-0 HT 0-0	MFK Zemplin Michalovce
03/12/25 Slovakia Cup	Dunajska Streda	3-0 HT 1-0	MFK Zemplin Michalovce
25/10/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	2-4 HT 1-1	Dunajska Streda
26/07/25 Slovakia Super Liga	Dunajska Streda	1-1 HT 0-1	MFK Zemplin Michalovce
20/05/25 Slovakia Super Liga	Dunajska Streda	2-1 HT 1-1	MFK Zemplin Michalovce

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	8	6	2	0	25	5	20
2	MSK Zilina	9	6	2	1	23	17	20
3	FC Spartak Trnava	9	5	3	1	21	10	18
4	Slovan Bratislava	8	5	1	2	20	9	16
5	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	9	4	2	3	13	16	14
6	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	9	4	1	4	9	11	13
7	FC Kosice	8	3	3	2	21	18	12
8	MFK Skalica	9	2	2	5	11	19	8
9	Dukla Banska Bystrica	9	2	1	6	9	21	7
10	AS Trencin	8	1	2	5	10	20	5
11	KFC Komarno	9	0	5	4	8	14	5
12	MFK Ruzomberok	9	1	2	6	8	18	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	Dunajska Streda
Dukla Banska Bystrica	1-0 W	2-0 W
MFK Ruzomberok	0-3 L	1-1 D
AS Trencin	3-1 W	4-1 W
Slovan Bratislava	2-1 W	2-0 W
MFK Skalica	2-0 W	6-1 W
FC Spartak Trnava	0-2 L	2-2 D
KFC Komarno	1-1 D	3-0 W
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	0-2 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dunajska Streda (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Zemplin Michalovce

WLLDLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
12/09	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
05/09	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
30/08	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
22/08	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
16/08	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
08/08	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
02/08	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
25/07	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	4	0	L
16/05	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	3	2	W

Dunajska Streda

LWDWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	2-1	2-2	3	7	D
12/09	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	3-0	4-1	4	1	W
05/09	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
30/08	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	3-0	6-1	3	2	W
22/08	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	5-0	7	5	W
16/08	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
02/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
26/07	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
16/05	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	3-0	3-0	5	4	W
09/05	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-2	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs Dunajska Streda?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunajska Streda win (60%). Probabilities: MFK Zemplin Michalovce 18%, draw 22%, Dunajska Streda 60%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs Dunajska Streda?

The model expects 3.26 goals (MFK Zemplin Michalovce 1.11 · Dunajska Streda 2.15), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs Dunajska Streda?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.