Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 10/10, 15:30
Prediction: MFK Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava
Team pages: MFK Skalica · Slovan Bratislava
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
MFK Skalica1
Slovan Bratislava2.16
1X2
MFK Skalica
Draw
Slovan Bratislava
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Skalica
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Slovan Bratislava
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MFK Skalica
0–6
Slovan Bratislava
(6 last)
- MFK Skalica0-1Slovan Bratislava
- Slovan Bratislava1-0MFK Skalica
- Slovan Bratislava3-1MFK Skalica
- MFK Skalica2-3Slovan Bratislava
- Slovan Bratislava1-0MFK Skalica
- MFK Skalica1-2Slovan Bratislava
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFK Skalica 1484 · Slovan Bratislava 1575
| MFK Skalica | Draw | Slovan Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 22% | 63% |
| Market | 16% | 20% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slovan Bratislava (rating 1484 vs 1575).
- H2H favours Slovan Bratislava: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFK Skalica | Slovan Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 3.3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Skalica 0–0–6 Slovan Bratislava
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Slovakia Super Liga | MFK Skalica | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Slovan Bratislava |
| 16/08/25 Slovakia Super Liga | Slovan Bratislava | 1-0 HT 1-0 | MFK Skalica |
| 09/11/24 Slovakia Super Liga | Slovan Bratislava | 3-1 HT 3-0 | MFK Skalica |
| 30/10/24 Slovakia Super Liga | MFK Skalica | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Slovan Bratislava |
| 12/11/23 Slovakia Super Liga | Slovan Bratislava | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MFK Skalica |
| 12/08/23 Slovakia Super Liga | MFK Skalica | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Slovan Bratislava |
Standings · Slovakia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | MSK Zilina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 17 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Spartak Trnava | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 14 |
| 6 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | FC Kosice | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 12 |
| 8 | MFK Skalica | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 9 | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 7 |
| 10 | AS Trencin | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 5 |
| 11 | KFC Komarno | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 5 |
| 12 | MFK Ruzomberok | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MFK Skalica | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Dukla Banska Bystrica | 2-3 L | 4-0 W |
| KFC Komarno | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Dunajska Streda | 1-6 L | 0-2 L |
| MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Kosice | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| MSK Zilina | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| MFK Ruzomberok | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Slovan Bratislava (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MFK Skalica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga |
0-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Slovan Bratislava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MFK Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Slovan Bratislava win (63%). Probabilities: MFK Skalica 16%, draw 21%, Slovan Bratislava 63%.
How many goals are expected in MFK Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava?
The model expects 3.17 goals (MFK Skalica 1 · Slovan Bratislava 2.16), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in MFK Skalica vs Slovan Bratislava?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.