Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 07/11, 15:30

Prediction: MFK Skalica vs MSK Zilina

Team pages: MFK Skalica · MSK Zilina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

MFK Skalica1.66

MSK Zilina2.01

1X2

31% 23% 46%

MFK Skalica Draw MSK Zilina

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Skalica 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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MSK Zilina 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MFK Skalica 1–2–3 MSK Zilina (6 last)

MSK Zilina1-3MFK Skalica
MSK Zilina3-1MFK Skalica
MSK Zilina3-2MFK Skalica
MFK Skalica0-0MSK Zilina
MFK Skalica0-0MSK Zilina
MSK Zilina3-2MFK Skalica

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSK Zilina (rating 1465 vs 1573).
H2H favours MSK Zilina: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Skalica	MSK Zilina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	2.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	2.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.99

Under 31.78

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:23

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.48 → 3.52▲	Pinn 3.52
X	3.68 → 3.73▲	Pinn 3.73
2	1.94 → 1.96▲	Pinn 1.96

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:47 +9’	3.48	3.68	1.94
17:53 +30’	3.52▲	3.73▲	1.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Skalica 1–2–3 MSK Zilina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	1-3 HT 0-1	MFK Skalica
25/11/25 Slovakia Cup	MSK Zilina	3-1 HT 1-1	MFK Skalica
25/10/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	3-2 HT 2-1	MFK Skalica
27/07/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Skalica	0-0 HT 0-0	MSK Zilina
15/12/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Skalica	0-0 HT 0-0	MSK Zilina
14/09/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	3-2 HT 1-1	MFK Skalica

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	12	10	2	0	37	7	32
2	Slovan Bratislava	13	8	3	2	30	13	27
3	MSK Zilina	13	7	4	2	33	25	25
4	FC Spartak Trnava	13	6	4	3	26	17	22
5	FC Kosice	13	4	6	3	30	23	18
6	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	13	5	2	6	19	23	17
7	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	13	4	2	7	12	23	14
8	Dukla Banska Bystrica	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
9	KFC Komarno	13	1	7	5	11	17	10
10	MFK Skalica	12	2	4	6	13	23	10
11	AS Trencin	13	2	3	8	12	28	9
12	MFK Ruzomberok	12	2	3	7	11	25	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Skalica	MSK Zilina
FC Spartak Trnava	1-1 D	3-1 W
AS Trencin	0-2 L	2-1 W
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	0-1 L	3-1 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica	2-3 L	4-3 W
KFC Komarno	0-0 D	2-1 W
Dunajska Streda	1-6 L	2-3 L
MFK Zemplin Michalovce	0-2 L	4-1 W
FC Kosice	2-4 L	2-2 D
MFK Ruzomberok	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 6 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Zilina (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Skalica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	4	8	D
17/10	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
20/09	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
12/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	2-3	4	5	L
05/09	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
30/08	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-3	1-6	4	2	L
22/08	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
15/08	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	0-4	2-4	9	2	L
09/08	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
01/08	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	2-1	2-1	5	6	W

MSK Zilina

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	4-1	5	4	W
25/10	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
18/10	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	2-3	1	11	L
11/10	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	2-2	2-2	2	6	D
19/09	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
13/09	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	3-3	2	6	D
05/09	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
30/08	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	2-1	3-1	1	5	W
23/08	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	14	6	W
15/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	4-3	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Skalica vs MSK Zilina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MSK Zilina win (46%). Probabilities: MFK Skalica 31%, draw 23%, MSK Zilina 46%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Skalica vs MSK Zilina?

The model expects 3.67 goals (MFK Skalica 1.66 · MSK Zilina 2.01), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Skalica vs MSK Zilina?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.