Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 08/11, 15:30

Prediction: FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs MFK Ruzomberok

Team pages: FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova · MFK Ruzomberok

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova2.07

MFK Ruzomberok1.31

1X2

54% 24% 23%

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Draw MFK Ruzomberok

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLDWLLWL

MFK Ruzomberok 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLDWLW

Head-to-head

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 3–3 MFK Ruzomberok (6 last)

MFK Ruzomberok1-4FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova5-0MFK Ruzomberok
MFK Ruzomberok1-0FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova2-0MFK Ruzomberok
MFK Ruzomberok1-0FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
MFK Ruzomberok3-2FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 1526 · MFK Ruzomberok 1495

	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	Draw	MFK Ruzomberok
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	MFK Ruzomberok
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	0.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	2.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.90

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.02

Under 2.751.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 12 moves · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.05
2	4.10 → 4.20▲	Pinn 4.40 ★

See the full journey (12)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +5’	1.73	3.80	4.10
17:28 +2’	1.73	3.90▲	4.00▼
07:12 +8’	1.75▲	4.00▲	3.60▼
23:35 +3’	1.75	4.00	3.80▲
05:16 +8’	1.75	4.00	4.20▲
10:26 +7’	1.80▲	4.00	4.00▼
11:31 +8’	1.75▼	4.00	4.10▲
23:42 +1’	1.75	4.00	4.20▲
05:07 +10’	1.75	4.00	4.10▼
05:44 +29’	1.75	4.00	4.20▲
11:09 +2’	1.75	3.90▼	4.33▲
12:24 +2’	1.75	3.90	4.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:01 +24’	1.77	4.08	3.90
19:35 +11’	1.77	4.07▼	3.91▲
20:30 +14’	1.77	4.06▼	3.91
22:17 +12’	1.76▼	4.11▲	3.93▲
00:12 +6’	1.79▲	4.00▼	3.92▼
13:23 +7’	1.79▲	3.96▼	3.92
14:20 +7’	1.79	3.96	3.91▼
16:14 +18’	1.81▲	3.91▼	3.91
17:22 +15’	1.83▲	3.84▼	3.91
11:29 +10’	1.76▼	3.94▲	4.13▲
13:36 +16’	1.71▼	4.02▲	4.31▲
16:24 +52’	1.72▲	4.08▲	4.37▲
03:30 +42’	1.73▲	4.11▲	4.40▲
10:40 +31’	1.74▲	4.05▼	4.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 3–0–3 MFK Ruzomberok

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	1-4 HT 1-2	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
14/02/26 Slovakia Super Liga	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	5-0 HT 2-0	MFK Ruzomberok
28/09/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
14/12/24 Slovakia Super Liga	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	2-0 HT 1-0	MFK Ruzomberok
15/09/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
27/04/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	3-2 HT 2-1	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	14	12	2	0	42	9	38
2	Slovan Bratislava	14	8	4	2	32	15	28
3	MSK Zilina	14	8	4	2	37	27	28
4	FC Spartak Trnava	14	7	4	3	28	18	25
5	FC Kosice	14	4	6	4	32	26	18
6	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	13	5	2	6	19	23	17
7	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	13	4	2	7	12	23	14
8	Dukla Banska Bystrica	14	4	2	8	14	27	14
9	MFK Ruzomberok	13	3	3	7	12	25	12
10	AS Trencin	14	2	4	8	14	30	10
11	KFC Komarno	13	1	7	5	11	17	10
12	MFK Skalica	14	2	4	8	15	28	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	MFK Ruzomberok
Slovan Bratislava	1-2 L	0-5 L
MFK Zemplin Michalovce	4-1 W	3-0 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Spartak Trnava	1-3 L	1-1 D
MFK Skalica	1-0 W	1-0 W
KFC Komarno	1-1 D	1-0 W
MSK Zilina	1-3 L	2-2 D
FC Kosice	2-2 D	0-2 L
Dunajska Streda	0-5 L	0-5 L
AS Trencin	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova

WLDLDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
24/10	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	4-1	3	7	W
18/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
11/10	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	1-3	3	11	L
20/09	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
13/09	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
05/09	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
29/08	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	2-2	9	8	D
22/08	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-5	7	5	L
15/08	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	2	8	W

MFK Ruzomberok

LLLDWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
24/10	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-4	0-5	4	0	L
17/10	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
11/10	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	2-2	2-2	4	6	D
19/09	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	3	10	L
12/09	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
06/09	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	4	9	D
29/08	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	9	7	L
22/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
15/08	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-5	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs MFK Ruzomberok?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova win (54%). Probabilities: FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 54%, draw 24%, MFK Ruzomberok 23%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs MFK Ruzomberok?

The model expects 3.38 goals (FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova 2.07 · MFK Ruzomberok 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs MFK Ruzomberok?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.