Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 08/08, 18:00
Prediction: FC Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica
Team pages: FC Spartak Trnava · Dukla Banska Bystrica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
FC Spartak Trnava1.76
Dukla Banska Bystrica0.54
1X2
FC Spartak Trnava
Draw
Dukla Banska Bystrica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Spartak Trnava
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Dukla Banska Bystrica
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Spartak Trnava
4–2
Dukla Banska Bystrica
(6 last)
- Dukla Banska Bystrica1-4FC Spartak Trnava
- FC Spartak Trnava1-0Dukla Banska Bystrica
- FC Spartak Trnava2-0Dukla Banska Bystrica
- Dukla Banska Bystrica1-2FC Spartak Trnava
- FC Spartak Trnava0-1Dukla Banska Bystrica
- Dukla Banska Bystrica2-0FC Spartak Trnava
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Spartak Trnava 1506 · Dukla Banska Bystrica 1425
| FC Spartak Trnava | Draw | Dukla Banska Bystrica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 24% | 10% |
| Market | 67% | 22% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Spartak Trnava (rating 1506 vs 1425).
- H2H favours FC Spartak Trnava: 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Spartak Trnava | Dukla Banska Bystrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Spartak Trnava 4–0–2 Dukla Banska Bystrica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/25 Slovakia Super Liga | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 1-4 HT 0-3 | FC Spartak Trnava |
| 22/09/24 Slovakia Super Liga | FC Spartak Trnava | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dukla Banska Bystrica |
| 24/02/24 Slovakia Super Liga | FC Spartak Trnava | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Dukla Banska Bystrica |
| 08/10/23 Slovakia Super Liga | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Spartak Trnava |
| 06/05/23 Slovakia Super Liga | FC Spartak Trnava | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dukla Banska Bystrica |
| 08/04/23 Slovakia Super Liga | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Spartak Trnava |
Standings · Slovakia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Spartak Trnava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | MFK Skalica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Dunajska Streda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | MSK Zilina | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Kosice | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 |
| 8 | AS Trencin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | KFC Komarno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | MFK Ruzomberok | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Dukla Banska Bystrica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Spartak Trnava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 28/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 25/07 | MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Besiktas Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | STK Samorin Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Slovacko Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 01/07 | Viktoria Plzen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | FK Teplice Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
Dukla Banska Bystrica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Pohronie Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Sigma Olomouc Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | FC Tatran Presov Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Spartak Trnava win (67%). Probabilities: FC Spartak Trnava 67%, draw 23%, Dukla Banska Bystrica 10%.
How many goals are expected in FC Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?
The model expects 2.3 goals (FC Spartak Trnava 1.76 · Dukla Banska Bystrica 0.54), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.