Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Dukla Banska Bystrica vs MSK Zilina

Team pages: Dukla Banska Bystrica · MSK Zilina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Dukla Banska Bystrica0.98

MSK Zilina1.65

1X2

22% 25% 53%

Dukla Banska Bystrica Draw MSK Zilina

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLDWLLL

MSK Zilina 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWDLWL

Head-to-head

Dukla Banska Bystrica 2–1–3 MSK Zilina (6 last)

Dukla Banska Bystrica1-2MSK Zilina
MSK Zilina2-0Dukla Banska Bystrica
Dukla Banska Bystrica3-1MSK Zilina
MSK Zilina1-4Dukla Banska Bystrica
Dukla Banska Bystrica1-3MSK Zilina
Dukla Banska Bystrica1-1MSK Zilina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dukla Banska Bystrica 1424 · MSK Zilina 1492

	Dukla Banska Bystrica	Draw	MSK Zilina
Our model	21%	27%	52%
Market	22%	24%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MSK Zilina (rating 1424 vs 1492).
H2H favours MSK Zilina: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dukla Banska Bystrica	MSK Zilina
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 1.9	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.2	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	2.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0.2	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.80

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:36 +3’	4.10	3.80	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dukla Banska Bystrica 2–1–3 MSK Zilina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/25 Slovakia Super Liga	Dukla Banska Bystrica	1-2 HT 0-2	MSK Zilina
20/10/24 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	2-0 HT 0-0	Dukla Banska Bystrica
16/12/23 Slovakia Super Liga	Dukla Banska Bystrica	3-1 HT 0-0	MSK Zilina
16/09/23 Slovakia Super Liga	MSK Zilina	1-4 HT 0-3	Dukla Banska Bystrica
23/05/23 Slovakia Super Liga	Dukla Banska Bystrica	1-3 HT 0-1	MSK Zilina
29/04/23 Slovakia Super Liga	Dukla Banska Bystrica	1-1 HT 1-1	MSK Zilina

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Spartak Trnava	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
2	MFK Skalica	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
3	Slovan Bratislava	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
4	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
5	Dunajska Streda	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	MSK Zilina	3	1	1	1	6	7	4
7	AS Trencin	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
8	FC Kosice	2	0	2	0	7	7	2
9	KFC Komarno	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
10	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
11	MFK Ruzomberok	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
12	Dukla Banska Bystrica	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dukla Banska Bystrica

DLLLLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	0-3	0-3	2	6	L
02/08	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
26/07	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-3	0-4	10	0	L
18/07	FK Pohronie Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
14/07	Hapoel Tel Aviv Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
11/07	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Club Friendly List	0-2	0-4	1	0	L
10/07	FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
04/07	Sigma Olomouc Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
27/06	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
24/06	FC Tatran Presov Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	7	0	D

MSK Zilina

LDDLWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
02/08	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
30/07	GKS Katowice UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
26/07	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	4-4	7	3	D
23/07	GKS Katowice UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-1	2-1	1	8	W
16/07	Hajduk Split UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
09/07	Hajduk Split UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
01/07	Pardubice Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-2	1	1	D
28/06	Odra Opole Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	10	0	D
24/06	Dynamo Kiev Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dukla Banska Bystrica vs MSK Zilina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MSK Zilina win (53%). Probabilities: Dukla Banska Bystrica 22%, draw 25%, MSK Zilina 53%.

How many goals are expected in Dukla Banska Bystrica vs MSK Zilina?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Dukla Banska Bystrica 0.98 · MSK Zilina 1.65), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dukla Banska Bystrica vs MSK Zilina?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.