Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 22/08, 18:00

Prediction: MFK Ruzomberok vs Dukla Banska Bystrica

Team pages: MFK Ruzomberok · Dukla Banska Bystrica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

MFK Ruzomberok1.77

Dukla Banska Bystrica1.05

1X2

53% 26% 21%

MFK Ruzomberok Draw Dukla Banska Bystrica

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Ruzomberok 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLDLLL

Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLLLL

Head-to-head

MFK Ruzomberok 4–2 Dukla Banska Bystrica (6 last)

MFK Ruzomberok4-1Dukla Banska Bystrica
Dukla Banska Bystrica0-2MFK Ruzomberok
Dukla Banska Bystrica0-2MFK Ruzomberok
MFK Ruzomberok1-2Dukla Banska Bystrica
MFK Ruzomberok2-1Dukla Banska Bystrica
Dukla Banska Bystrica2-1MFK Ruzomberok

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Ruzomberok 1424 · Dukla Banska Bystrica 1416

	MFK Ruzomberok	Draw	Dukla Banska Bystrica
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MFK Ruzomberok: 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Ruzomberok	Dukla Banska Bystrica
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.4	0.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	1.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	1.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:51 +1’	1.73	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Ruzomberok 4–0–2 Dukla Banska Bystrica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/01/26 Europe Friendlies	MFK Ruzomberok	4-1 HT 2-0	Dukla Banska Bystrica
04/05/25 Slovakia Super Liga	Dukla Banska Bystrica	0-2 HT 0-1	MFK Ruzomberok
16/04/25 Slovakia Cup	Dukla Banska Bystrica	0-2 HT 0-1	MFK Ruzomberok
06/04/25 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Ruzomberok	1-2 HT 0-0	Dukla Banska Bystrica
01/04/25 Slovakia Cup	MFK Ruzomberok	2-1 HT 1-0	Dukla Banska Bystrica
26/10/24 Slovakia Super Liga	Dukla Banska Bystrica	2-1 HT 2-0	MFK Ruzomberok

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Spartak Trnava	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
2	Slovan Bratislava	3	3	0	0	12	0	9
3	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
4	MFK Skalica	4	2	1	1	8	7	7
5	Dunajska Streda	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
6	MSK Zilina	4	2	1	1	10	10	7
7	FC Kosice	3	1	2	0	11	9	5
8	AS Trencin	3	0	2	1	5	6	2
9	KFC Komarno	4	0	2	2	3	7	2
10	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	4	0	1	3	1	6	1
11	MFK Ruzomberok	4	0	1	3	3	12	1
12	Dukla Banska Bystrica	4	0	0	4	3	13	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Ruzomberok	Dukla Banska Bystrica
Slovan Bratislava	0-5 L	0-4 L
Dunajska Streda	1-1 D	0-2 L
Sigma Olomouc	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MFK Ruzomberok

WLDLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-5	2	1	L
08/08	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	1-4	5	8	L
01/08	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	1-2	9	6	L
26/07	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
18/07	FK Teplice Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
15/07	Fortuna Dusseldorf Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
12/07	Slavia Prague Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-3	4	1	L
04/07	MFK Zvolen Europe Friendlies	2-1	3-3	4	1	D
27/06	Sigma Olomouc Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
24/06	OFK Malzenice Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	6	3	W

Dukla Banska Bystrica

LLLLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	3-4	11	4	L
08/08	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	0-3	0-3	2	6	L
02/08	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
26/07	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-3	0-4	10	0	L
18/07	FK Pohronie Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
14/07	Hapoel Tel Aviv Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
11/07	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Club Friendly List	0-2	0-4	1	0	L
10/07	FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
04/07	Sigma Olomouc Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
27/06	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	6	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Ruzomberok vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Ruzomberok win (53%). Probabilities: MFK Ruzomberok 53%, draw 26%, Dukla Banska Bystrica 21%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Ruzomberok vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

The model expects 2.82 goals (MFK Ruzomberok 1.77 · Dukla Banska Bystrica 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Ruzomberok vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.