Football · Brazil Serie A3 Women · 08/08, 20:00

Prediction: Realidade Jovem (W) vs Coritiba (W)

Team pages: Realidade Jovem (W) · Coritiba (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Realidade Jovem (W)1.12
Coritiba (W)1.26
1X2
32% 29% 39%
Realidade Jovem (W) Draw Coritiba (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Realidade Jovem (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Coritiba (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Realidade Jovem (W) 0–1 Coritiba (W) (1 last)
  • Coritiba (W)2-1Realidade Jovem (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Realidade Jovem (W) 1570 · Coritiba (W) 1587
Realidade Jovem (W)DrawCoritiba (W)
Our model32%30%38%
Market33%27%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Realidade Jovem (W)Coritiba (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.81.7 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.50.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%38/50/13%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.92.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.44.4 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Realidade Jovem (W) 001 Coritiba (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Brazil Serie A3 Women
Coritiba (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Realidade Jovem (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A3 Women · Brasileiro A3, Women 2026, Group 4

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Coritiba (W) 6510 10116
2 Criciuma (W) 6303 789
3 Brasil de Farroupilha (W) 6222 658
4 Mauaense (W) 6015 4131

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRealidade Jovem (W)Coritiba (W)
Criciuma (W) 3-0 W 3-0 W
Heips (W) 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Realidade Jovem (W) (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Realidade Jovem (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Coritiba (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
0-1 1-2 76 L
31/05 Criciuma (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
1-0 3-0 33 W
18/05 Criciuma (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
3-1 3-2 36 W
02/05 Heips (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
1-0 3-0 35 W
29/04 Itabirito (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 1-2 24 L
24/04 Araguari (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
1-0 2-0 40 W
19/04 Sao Jose SP (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
2-1 3-1 65 W
03/04 Sao Jose SP (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
0-0 2-0 94 W
28/03 Araguari (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
0-0 2-0 W
22/03 Heips (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
1-1 2-1 73 W

Coritiba (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Realidade Jovem (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
1-0 2-1 46 W
20/07 Internacional (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-1 33 L
30/05 Heips (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
2-0 W
27/05 Heips (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-0 2-0 65 W
17/05 Heips (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
0-0 1-0 42 W
13/05 Rio Negro RR (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
1-1 3-1 107 W
02/05 Mauaense (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
2-1 W
29/04 Mixto PB (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-0 W
26/04 Criciuma (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
1-0 3-0 46 W
19/04 Brasil de Farroupilha (W)
Brazil Serie A3 Women
0-0 1-0 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Realidade Jovem (W) vs Coritiba (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Coritiba (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Realidade Jovem (W) 32%, draw 29%, Coritiba (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Realidade Jovem (W) vs Coritiba (W)?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Realidade Jovem (W) 1.12 · Coritiba (W) 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Realidade Jovem (W) vs Coritiba (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.