Prediction: Rodez Aveyron vs Montpellier
Team pages: Rodez Aveyron · Montpellier
- Montpellier4-2Rodez Aveyron
- Rodez Aveyron1-0Montpellier
- Montpellier2-0Rodez Aveyron
- Montpellier0-2Rodez Aveyron
- Rodez Aveyron1-3Montpellier
| Rodez Aveyron | Draw | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1486 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Montpellier: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rodez Aveyron | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6 | 3.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodez Aveyron 2–0–3 Montpellier
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Club Friendly List | Montpellier | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Rodez Aveyron |
| 20/02/26 France Ligue 2 | Rodez Aveyron | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Montpellier |
| 31/10/25 France Ligue 2 | Montpellier | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Rodez Aveyron |
| 18/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Montpellier | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rodez Aveyron |
| 14/08/20 Europe Friendlies | Rodez Aveyron | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Montpellier |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Red Star FC 93 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | Nancy | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Pau | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Metz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | Annecy | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | Dijon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
| 11 | Sochaux | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Guingamp | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 14 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Rodez Aveyron | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rodez Aveyron | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| St Etienne | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Nancy | 3-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Grenoble | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Pau | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Montpellier (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodez Aveyron
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Nantes France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Montpellier
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 18/09 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodez Aveyron vs Montpellier?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Montpellier win (39%). Probabilities: Rodez Aveyron 34%, draw 27%, Montpellier 39%.
How many goals are expected in Rodez Aveyron vs Montpellier?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Rodez Aveyron 1.31 · Montpellier 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rodez Aveyron vs Montpellier?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.