Football · Denmark Division 1 · 19/09, 20:00
Prediction: HB Køge vs Hobro IK
Team pages: HB Køge · Hobro IK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
HB Køge1.19
Hobro IK1.26
1X2
HB Køge
Draw
Hobro IK
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
HB Køge
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Hobro IK
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HB Køge
2–1–3
Hobro IK
(6 last)
- HB Køge0-1Hobro IK
- Hobro IK1-2HB Køge
- Hobro IK1-1HB Køge
- HB Køge2-0Hobro IK
- Hobro IK2-1HB Køge
- HB Køge0-2Hobro IK
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hobro IK (rating 1423 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Hobro IK: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HB Køge | Hobro IK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Køge 2–1–3 Hobro IK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hobro IK |
| 22/04/26 Denmark Division 1 | Hobro IK | 1-2 HT 0-1 | HB Køge |
| 27/02/26 Denmark Division 1 | Hobro IK | 1-1 HT 1-1 | HB Køge |
| 18/07/25 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hobro IK |
| 22/05/25 Denmark Division 1 | Hobro IK | 2-1 HT 1-0 | HB Køge |
| 21/04/25 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hobro IK |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vejle | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Aarhus Fremad | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Hobro IK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | AaB | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Vendsyssel FF | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Hillerød | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 9 | Kolding IF | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 10 | AB Copenhagen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Esbjerg | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 5 |
| 12 | HB Køge | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HB Køge | Hobro IK |
|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Hillerød | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| AaB | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Hvidovre IF | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Aarhus Fremad | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Vejle | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hobro IK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HB Køge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 04/09 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Hobro IK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/08 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Middelfart Denmark Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HB Køge vs Hobro IK?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hobro IK win (37%). Probabilities: HB Køge 33%, draw 30%, Hobro IK 37%.
How many goals are expected in HB Køge vs Hobro IK?
The model expects 2.44 goals (HB Køge 1.19 · Hobro IK 1.26), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HB Køge vs Hobro IK?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.