Football · Denmark Division 1 · 24/10, 13:30
Prediction: Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia
Team pages: Esbjerg · FC Fredericia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Esbjerg1.44
FC Fredericia1.55
1X2
Esbjerg
Draw
FC Fredericia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Esbjerg
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
FC Fredericia
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Esbjerg
0–1–5
FC Fredericia
(6 last)
- FC Fredericia1-0Esbjerg
- Esbjerg0-1FC Fredericia
- FC Fredericia1-1Esbjerg
- Esbjerg0-2FC Fredericia
- Esbjerg0-3FC Fredericia
- FC Fredericia4-0Esbjerg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fredericia (rating 1473 vs 1544).
- H2H favours FC Fredericia: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Esbjerg | FC Fredericia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4 | 3.8 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Esbjerg 0–1–5 FC Fredericia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Esbjerg |
| 18/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Esbjerg | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Fredericia |
| 27/04/25 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Esbjerg |
| 22/04/25 Denmark Division 1 | Esbjerg | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Fredericia |
| 19/10/24 Denmark Division 1 | Esbjerg | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Fredericia |
| 11/08/24 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Esbjerg |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre IF | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Vejle | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | AB Copenhagen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | AaB | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 6 | Aarhus Fremad | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Hobro IK | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 14 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 9 | HB Køge | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 10 | Vendsyssel FF | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Esbjerg | FC Fredericia |
|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| AaB | 3-3 D | 3-0 W |
| AB Copenhagen | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Vendsyssel FF | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Vejle | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Hobro IK | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Hvidovre IF | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Hillerød | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Fredericia (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esbjerg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
FC Fredericia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fredericia win (39%). Probabilities: Esbjerg 34%, draw 27%, FC Fredericia 39%.
How many goals are expected in Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia?
The model expects 3 goals (Esbjerg 1.44 · FC Fredericia 1.55), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.