Football · Denmark Division 1 · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

Team pages: Vendsyssel FF · Vejle

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Vendsyssel FF1.12

Vejle1.91

1X2

21% 24% 55%

Vendsyssel FF Draw Vejle

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Vendsyssel FF 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDDLLD

Vejle 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDDLWD

Head-to-head

Vendsyssel FF 1–1–4 Vejle (6 last)

Vejle4-1Vendsyssel FF
Vejle4-3Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF0-0Vejle
Vejle1-0Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF2-0Vejle
Vendsyssel FF0-2Vejle

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vendsyssel FF 1460 · Vejle 1542

	Vendsyssel FF	Draw	Vejle
Our model	21%	24%	55%
Market	21%	25%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vejle (rating 1460 vs 1542).
H2H favours Vejle: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vendsyssel FF	Vejle
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.5	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.70

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.37
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Pinn 4.02 ★
2	1.80 → 1.67▼	Pinn 1.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.1% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +1’	3.70	3.60	1.80
02:13 +9’	4.33▲	3.70▲	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +517’	3.91	3.87	1.81
10:53 +30’	4.37▲	4.02▲	1.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vendsyssel FF 1–1–4 Vejle

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Denmark Division 1	Vejle	4-1 HT 4-0	Vendsyssel FF
04/06/23 Denmark Division 1	Vejle	4-3 HT 1-1	Vendsyssel FF
10/04/23 Denmark Division 1	Vendsyssel FF	0-0 HT 0-0	Vejle
05/03/23 Denmark Division 1	Vejle	1-0 HT 1-0	Vendsyssel FF
11/09/22 Denmark Division 1	Vendsyssel FF	2-0 HT 1-0	Vejle
10/07/20 Denmark Division 1	Vendsyssel FF	0-2 HT 0-0	Vejle

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hvidovre IF	12	8	4	0	23	12	28
2	Vejle	12	6	5	1	24	15	23
3	FC Fredericia	12	5	5	2	18	8	20
4	AB Copenhagen	12	5	3	4	17	12	18
5	Aarhus Fremad	12	3	6	3	10	11	15
6	Hobro IK	12	4	3	5	15	22	15
7	AaB	12	3	5	4	15	17	14
8	Kolding IF	12	2	6	4	13	15	12
9	Hillerød	12	3	3	6	15	18	12
10	HB Køge	12	2	5	5	17	22	11
11	Vendsyssel FF	12	2	5	5	13	20	11
12	Esbjerg	12	2	4	6	15	23	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vendsyssel FF	Vejle
Hobro IK	2-2 D	0-0 D
Kolding IF	1-2 L	3-2 W
AaB	2-2 D	1-0 W
Aarhus Fremad	0-0 D	0-0 D
Esbjerg	2-0 W	4-2 W
Hillerød	1-0 W	5-4 W
FC Fredericia	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vejle (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vendsyssel FF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Hobro IK Denmark Division 1	2-0	2-2	5	5	D
16/10	Kolding IF Denmark Division 1	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
11/10	HB Køge Denmark Division 1	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
20/09	AaB Denmark Division 1	0-1	2-2	7	4	D
11/09	Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
04/09	Vejle Denmark Division 1	0-4	1-4	7	0	L
30/08	Esbjerg Denmark Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
20/08	Hillerød Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
16/08	AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1	0-3	0-3	4	5	L
09/08	FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-1	2	3	D

Vejle

WWWDWDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
17/10	AaB Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
09/10	Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-2	9	5	L
20/09	FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
11/09	Hobro IK Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
04/09	Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1	4-0	4-1	2	0	W
30/08	Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
21/08	Esbjerg Denmark Division 1	1-1	4-2	4	1	W
14/08	Kolding IF Denmark Division 1	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
09/08	Hillerød Denmark Division 1	1-2	5-4	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vejle win (55%). Probabilities: Vendsyssel FF 21%, draw 24%, Vejle 55%.

How many goals are expected in Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Vendsyssel FF 1.12 · Vejle 1.91), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.