Football · Croatia HNL · 14/08, 20:00
Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Rudes
Team pages: Dinamo Zagreb · NK Rudes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.79Total
Dinamo Zagreb2.9
NK Rudes0.9
1X2
Dinamo Zagreb
Draw
NK Rudes
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Zagreb
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
NK Rudes
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Zagreb
5–1–0
NK Rudes
(6 last)
- Dinamo Zagreb3-3NK Rudes
- NK Rudes0-3Dinamo Zagreb
- Dinamo Zagreb1-0NK Rudes
- NK Rudes1-5Dinamo Zagreb
- NK Rudes0-2Dinamo Zagreb
- NK Rudes0-2Dinamo Zagreb
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dinamo Zagreb 1600 · NK Rudes 1485
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Rudes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 84% | 11% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Zagreb (rating 1600 vs 1485).
- H2H favours Dinamo Zagreb: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dinamo Zagreb | NK Rudes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 7 | 2.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Zagreb 5–1–0 NK Rudes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/24 Croatia HNL | Dinamo Zagreb | 3-3 HT 2-1 | NK Rudes |
| 17/03/24 Croatia HNL | NK Rudes | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 09/12/23 Croatia HNL | Dinamo Zagreb | 1-0 HT 0-0 | NK Rudes |
| 24/09/23 Croatia HNL | NK Rudes | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 16/12/20 Croatia Cup | NK Rudes | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 07/04/19 Croatia HNL | NK Rudes | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Zagreb |
Standings · Croatia HNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Osijek | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 7 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 8 | HNK Gorica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 9 | Slaven Belupo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | NK Rudes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinamo Zagreb
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | FK Kauno Zalgiris UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | FK Kauno Zalgiris UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 28/07 | FC Thun UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 21/07 | FC Thun UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/07 | FC Koper Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/07 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | NK Radomlje Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
NK Rudes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-4 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Goztepe Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/07 | Shakhtar Donetsk Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/07 | FC Bihor Oradea Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Olimpija Ljubljana Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Karlovac Croatia 1.NL |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Rudes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Zagreb win (81%). Probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb 81%, draw 12%, NK Rudes 6%.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Rudes?
The model expects 3.79 goals (Dinamo Zagreb 2.9 · NK Rudes 0.9), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Rudes?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.