Prediction: Independiente Juniors vs LDU Quito
Expected goals: 2.32 (Independiente Juniors 0.85 · LDU Quito 1.46). The model gives 22% home, 27% draw, 51% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Independiente Juniors sits at 3-5-2 (W-D-L), while LDU Quito arrives on a 6-1-3 run.
| Independiente Juniors | Draw | LDU Quito | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 29% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Juniors | LDU Quito | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3 | 2.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 30/04 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/04 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
LDU Quito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 02/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Always Ready Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Mirassol Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Juniors vs LDU Quito?
According to our model, the most likely result is an LDU Quito win (51%). Probabilities: Independiente Juniors 22%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 51%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Juniors vs LDU Quito?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Independiente Juniors 0.85 · LDU Quito 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Juniors vs LDU Quito?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.