Football · USA NPSL · 04/07, 01:30

Prediction: Charlottetowne Hops vs Burlington United

Expected goals: 3.9 (Charlottetowne Hops 2.56 · Burlington United 1.34). The model gives 63% home, 19% draw, 18% away. Under 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.

On recent form, Charlottetowne Hops is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Burlington United 2-3-5 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Charlottetowne Hops and 0 for Burlington United.

63%1
63% 19% 18%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlottetowne Hops 1458 · Burlington United 1454
Charlottetowne HopsDrawBurlington United
Our model63%19%18%
Market63%19%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.9 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.9Charlottetowne Hops 2.56 · Burlington United 1.34
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Charlottetowne Hops: 3-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Charlottetowne HopsBurlington United
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 21.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.90.9 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/33/56%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)– / –– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)– / –– / –

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlottetowne Hops 300 Burlington United

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
USA NPSL
Burlington United2-4
HT 2-3
Charlottetowne Hops
29/05/25
USA NPSL
Burlington United2-3
HT 1-2
Charlottetowne Hops
24/05/25
USA NPSL
Charlottetowne Hops6-1
HT 3-0
Burlington United

Standings · USA NPSL · Southeast Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bristol Rhythm AFC 9810 20625
2 865 Alliance 10424 171514
3 Statesville FC 10424 211414
4 Greenville United 10424 151714
5 Mint Hill FC 9315 112110
6 Charlottetowne Hops 9225 10148
7 Burlington United 9225 16238

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCharlottetowne HopsBurlington United
865 Alliance 1-1 D 2-3 L
Statesville FC 0-3 L 2-4 L
Mint Hill FC 2-1 W 2-2 D
Greenville United 1-2 L 1-1 D
Bristol Rhythm AFC 0-1 L 3-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlottetowne Hops

LLWLLLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 865 Alliance
USA NPSL
0-1 1-1 D
21/06 865 Alliance
USA NPSL
0-0 1-1 D
14/06 Statesville FC
USA NPSL
0-0 0-3 L
11/06 Mint Hill FC
USA NPSL
0-1 2-1 W
07/06 Greenville United
USA NPSL
0-1 1-2 L
03/06 Mint Hill FC
USA NPSL
0-1 L
31/05 Bristol Rhythm AFC
USA NPSL
0-0 0-1 L
15/05 Burlington United
USA NPSL
3-2 4-2 W
09/05 Greenville United
USA NPSL
0-1 1-2 L
10/07 Appalachian FC
USA NPSL
0-2 1-6 L

Burlington United

DWLWLDLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Bristol Rhythm AFC
USA NPSL
3-2 3-4 L
18/06 Mint Hill FC
USA NPSL
0-1 2-2 D
14/06 865 Alliance
USA NPSL
1-2 2-3 L
07/06 Bristol Rhythm AFC
USA NPSL
0-4 0-5 L
04/06 Greenville United
USA NPSL
0-0 1-1 D
31/05 Statesville FC
USA NPSL
1-2 2-4 L
23/05 Greenville United
USA NPSL
1-0 3-0 W
15/05 Charlottetowne Hops
USA NPSL
2-3 2-4 L
10/05 Statesville FC
USA NPSL
1-0 1-0 W
03/07 865 Alliance
USA NPSL
0-0 0-0 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlottetowne Hops vs Burlington United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlottetowne Hops win (63%). Probabilities: Charlottetowne Hops 63%, draw 19%, Burlington United 18%.

How many goals are expected in Charlottetowne Hops vs Burlington United?

The model expects 3.9 goals (Charlottetowne Hops 2.56 · Burlington United 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlottetowne Hops vs Burlington United?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.