Football · Brazil Paulista Women · 30/07, 00:00

Prediction: Palmeiras (W) vs Corinthians (W)

Team pages: Palmeiras (W) · Corinthians (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Palmeiras (W)1.34
Corinthians (W)1.14
1X2
40% 29% 31%
Palmeiras (W) Draw Corinthians (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Palmeiras (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDWLWLWWWD
Corinthians (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLDWWWLW
Head-to-head
Palmeiras (W) 2–2–2 Corinthians (W) (6 last)
  • Palmeiras (W)0-1Corinthians (W)
  • Palmeiras (W)3-2Corinthians (W)
  • Palmeiras (W)1-1Corinthians (W)
  • Corinthians (W)1-0Palmeiras (W)
  • Palmeiras (W)5-1Corinthians (W)
  • Palmeiras (W)0-0Corinthians (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palmeiras (W) 1557 · Corinthians (W) 1550
Palmeiras (W)DrawCorinthians (W)
Our model40%30%30%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Palmeiras (W)Corinthians (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.62.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.21.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 5.72.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.23.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Palmeiras (W) 222 Corinthians (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/05/26
Copa do Brazil Women
Palmeiras (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians (W)
14/03/26
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Palmeiras (W)3-2
HT 0-2
Corinthians (W)
07/02/26
Brazil Supercopa Women
Palmeiras (W)1-1
HT 1-1
Corinthians (W)
14/12/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras (W)
07/12/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Palmeiras (W)5-1
HT 3-0
Corinthians (W)
11/11/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Palmeiras (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians (W)

Standings · Brazil Paulista Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ferroviaria (W) 4301 839
2 Sao Paulo (W) 5302 649
3 Corinthians (W) 4211 1047
4 Palmeiras (W) 4211 727
5 Santos (W) 5131 556
6 Bragantino (W) 5131 496
7 Taubate (W) 4112 444
8 Mirassol (W) 5014 1141

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPalmeiras (W)Corinthians (W)
Mixto EC (W) 0-0 D 4-1 W
Sao Paulo (W) 1-0 W 2-1 W
Bragantino (W) 2-1 W 6-0 W
Ferroviaria (W) 1-2 L 0-1 L
Santos (W) 0-0 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palmeiras (W)

WDWLWLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 83 D
18/07 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 1-0 51 W
13/07 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Ladies Cup
3-0 3-1 33 W
10/07 Paraguay (W)
Brazil Ladies Cup
2-0 3-0 90 W
30/05 Corinthians (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 0-1 76 L
24/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 2-1 66 W
21/05 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 1-2 34 L
19/05 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-0 56 W
15/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-0 0-0 36 D
12/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-1 4-1 84 W

Corinthians (W)

LWWLDWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 4-0 63 W
21/07 Ferroviaria (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-1 48 L
18/07 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 1-0 21 W
30/05 Palmeiras (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-0 46 W
26/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 4-1 87 W
22/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-1 2-2 71 D
19/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 2-3 43 L
14/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
3-0 6-0 51 W
12/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 2-1 13 W
08/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-2 1-2 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palmeiras (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Palmeiras (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Palmeiras (W) 40%, draw 29%, Corinthians (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Palmeiras (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Palmeiras (W) 1.34 · Corinthians (W) 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Palmeiras (W) vs Corinthians (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.