Football · Norway Division 1 · 05/07, 19:15

Prediction: Odd BK vs Haugesund

Expected goals: 3.78 (Odd BK 1.97 · Haugesund 1.8). The model gives 41% home, 24% draw, 35% away. Over 3.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Odd BK with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Haugesund has piled up 6-1-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Odd BK and 4 for Haugesund, with 2 draws.

41%1
41% 24% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odd BK 1523 · Haugesund 1541
Odd BKDrawHaugesund
Our model42%23%35%
Market41%24%34%
Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.78Odd BK 1.97 · Haugesund 1.8
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Haugesund: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Odd BKHaugesund
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.33 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.51.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.63.7 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Odd BK 024 Haugesund

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/12/24
Norway Eliteserien
Haugesund2-1
HT 0-1
Odd BK
31/03/24
Norway Eliteserien
Odd BK1-2
HT 0-1
Haugesund
24/09/23
Norway Eliteserien
Odd BK1-1
HT 0-0
Haugesund
02/07/23
Norway Eliteserien
Haugesund2-1
HT 1-1
Odd BK
02/10/22
Norway Eliteserien
Haugesund2-2
HT 1-1
Odd BK
16/05/22
Norway Eliteserien
Odd BK0-4
HT 0-2
Haugesund

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stromsgodset 13841 381828
2 Haugesund 13913 402528
3 Kongsvinger 13832 312027
4 Stabaek 13733 271424
5 Odd BK 13733 261624
6 Ranheim 13625 322920
7 Sandnes Ulf 13616 211919
8 Hodd 13535 181618
9 Moss 13526 232917
10 Egersund 13517 212516
11 Bryne 13517 182216
12 Sogndal 13436 243115
13 Asane 13418 182412
14 Strommen 13328 183511
15 Raufoss 13319 163110
16 Lyn 1896 13319 112810

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOdd BKHaugesund
Asane 1-2 L 1-1 D
Ranheim 3-1 W 4-1 W
Kongsvinger 2-4 L 4-2 W
Moss 2-3 L 3-1 W
Egersund 1-0 W 2-5 L
Raufoss 1-0 W 4-3 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odd BK

WWWLLWWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-2 45 D
21/06 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-0 74 D
14/06 Asane
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-2 115 L
30/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-0 52 W
25/05 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-1 92 W
20/05 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-4 62 L
16/05 Moss
Norway Division 1
2-1 2-3 34 L
11/05 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-0 32 W
01/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-0 73 W
25/04 Bryne
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-1 14 W

Haugesund

LWLDWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
3-2 4-2 104 W
21/06 Egersund
Norway Division 1
1-3 2-5 35 L
14/06 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-1 4-1 53 W
31/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
4-0 4-3 73 W
25/05 Moss
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-1 92 W
20/05 Strommen
Norway Division 1
3-0 7-0 31 W
16/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-1 85 D
10/05 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-5 72 L
01/05 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
1-0 2-0 73 W
26/04 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-3 57 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odd BK vs Haugesund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odd BK win (41%). Probabilities: Odd BK 41%, draw 24%, Haugesund 35%.

How many goals are expected in Odd BK vs Haugesund?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Odd BK 1.97 · Haugesund 1.8), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Odd BK vs Haugesund?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.