Football · Norway Division 1 · 03/07, 18:00

Prediction: Raufoss vs Strommen

Expected goals: 3.38 (Raufoss 1.71 · Strommen 1.67). The model gives 38% home, 25% draw, 37% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Raufoss is 3-0-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Strommen 2-1-7 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Raufoss won 2 and Strommen 2, with 2 draws.

38%1
38% 25% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raufoss 1468 · Strommen 1431
RaufossDrawStrommen
Our model38%25%37%
Market38%26%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.38Raufoss 1.71 · Strommen 1.67
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RaufossStrommen
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 2.21.1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 10.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.82.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 03.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raufoss 222 Strommen

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
Europe Friendlies
Raufoss3-0
HT 1-0
Strommen
24/04/25
Norway Cup
Strommen2-1
HT 1-0
Raufoss
25/01/25
Europe Friendlies
Raufoss0-0
HT 0-0
Strommen
06/11/21
Norway Division 1
Raufoss4-2
HT 1-1
Strommen
15/05/21
Norway Division 1
Strommen1-1
HT 1-1
Raufoss
24/10/20
Norway Division 1
Strommen3-2
HT 1-0
Raufoss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stromsgodset 13841 381828
2 Haugesund 13913 402528
3 Kongsvinger 13832 312027
4 Stabaek 13733 271424
5 Odd BK 13733 261624
6 Ranheim 13625 322920
7 Sandnes Ulf 13616 211919
8 Hodd 13535 181618
9 Moss 13526 232917
10 Egersund 13517 212516
11 Bryne 13517 182216
12 Sogndal 13436 243115
13 Asane 13418 182412
14 Strommen 13328 183511
15 Raufoss 13319 163110
16 Lyn 1896 13319 112810

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRaufossStrommen
Sandnes Ulf 0-3 L 0-2 L
Sogndal 3-1 W 2-3 L
Stromsgodset 1-6 L 0-3 L
Haugesund 3-4 L 0-7 L
Bryne 3-0 W 2-4 L
Stabaek 2-1 W 1-0 W
Lyn 1896 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Raufoss (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raufoss

LLLWWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 33 L
21/06 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-1 62 W
14/06 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-6 21 L
31/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-4 3-4 43 L
25/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 51 L
20/05 Bryne
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-0 73 W
16/05 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-1 32 W
10/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-1 51 L
06/05 Egersund
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-2 70 L
01/05 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-1 63 L

Strommen

LLLLLLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Moss
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-2 45 W
21/06 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-0 52 W
14/06 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-2 20 L
07/06 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-2 44 D
31/05 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-3 66 L
25/05 Lyn 1896
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-1 41 L
20/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-3 0-7 41 L
16/05 Bryne
Norway Division 1
1-2 2-4 25 L
10/05 Hodd
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-2 34 L
01/05 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
0-1 0-3 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raufoss vs Strommen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Raufoss win (38%). Probabilities: Raufoss 38%, draw 25%, Strommen 37%.

How many goals are expected in Raufoss vs Strommen?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Raufoss 1.71 · Strommen 1.67), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Raufoss vs Strommen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.