Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 14/08, 21:00

Prediction: Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Lisburn (W)

Team pages: Crusaders Strikers (W) · Lisburn (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.32Total

Crusaders Strikers (W)3.15

Lisburn (W)1.17

1X2

76% 14% 10%

Crusaders Strikers (W) Draw Lisburn (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Crusaders Strikers (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDWDLL

Lisburn (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Crusaders Strikers (W) 5–1 Lisburn (W) (6 last)

Lisburn (W)0-3Crusaders Strikers (W)
Crusaders Strikers (W)2-3Lisburn (W)
Lisburn (W)1-3Crusaders Strikers (W)
Crusaders Strikers (W)2-1Lisburn (W)
Lisburn (W)0-2Crusaders Strikers (W)
Crusaders Strikers (W)6-1Lisburn (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crusaders Strikers (W) 1482 · Lisburn (W) 1393

	Crusaders Strikers (W)	Draw	Lisburn (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	75%	14%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 4.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crusaders Strikers (W) (rating 1482 vs 1393).
H2H favours Crusaders Strikers (W): 5-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crusaders Strikers (W)	Lisburn (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.9	0.5 / 4.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.3 / 2.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	0.5 / 1.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	1.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.25

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 1.4 · xG: 5.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:49 +3’	1.20	6.25	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders Strikers (W) 5–0–1 Lisburn (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Crusaders Strikers (W)
26/04/26 Northern Ireland League Cup Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	Lisburn (W)
17/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn (W)	1-3 HT 0-0	Crusaders Strikers (W)
12/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Lisburn (W)
23/05/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Crusaders Strikers (W)
25/09/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	6-1 HT 3-0	Lisburn (W)

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cliftonville (W)	10	9	0	1	47	9	27
2	Linfield (W)	10	7	1	2	47	11	22
3	Glentoran (W)	9	7	1	1	33	9	22
4	Lisburn Rangers (W)	10	6	1	3	25	18	19
5	Crusaders Strikers (W)	10	3	3	4	20	34	12
6	Derry City (W)	11	3	1	7	22	27	10
7	Lisburn (W)	11	1	1	9	5	48	4
8	Larne FC (W)	11	0	2	9	5	48	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crusaders Strikers (W)	Lisburn (W)
Glentoran (W)	1-5 L	0-7 L
Linfield (W)	0-4 L	1-6 L
Lisburn Rangers (W)	2-2 D	0-6 L
Derry City (W)	3-3 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Crusaders Strikers (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Crusaders Strikers (W)

WWLWLDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	1-5	5	1	L
03/08	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women	0-1	0-4	1	3	L
24/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	2-2	9	1	D
06/07	Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women	2-0	4-1	10	0	W
03/07	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-2	3-3	1	4	D
26/06	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-4	1-9	3	1	L
22/06	Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women	3-0	5-0	11	0	W
19/06	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	2-4	1	2	L
29/05	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
22/05	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	3	1	W

Lisburn (W)

LDLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-6	1-6	0	1	L
31/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-6	0	2	L
24/07	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-7	2	0	L
03/07	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
19/06	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-3	1-8	3	0	L
29/05	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
22/05	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
17/05	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-4	0-7	0	1	L
08/05	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
01/05	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Lisburn (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crusaders Strikers (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Crusaders Strikers (W) 76%, draw 14%, Lisburn (W) 10%.

How many goals are expected in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Lisburn (W)?

The model expects 4.32 goals (Crusaders Strikers (W) 3.15 · Lisburn (W) 1.17), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Lisburn (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.