Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women · 02/08, 06:30

Prediction: Canberra Olympic (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)

Team pages: Canberra Olympic (W) · Canberra Croatia FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Canberra Olympic (W)1.06

Canberra Croatia FC (W)1.92

1X2

20% 23% 57%

Canberra Olympic (W) Draw Canberra Croatia FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Canberra Olympic (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWLWW

Canberra Croatia FC (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Canberra Olympic (W) 2–2–2 Canberra Croatia FC (W) (6 last)

Canberra Croatia FC (W)3-0Canberra Olympic (W)
Canberra Olympic (W)1-3Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Canberra Croatia FC (W)0-0Canberra Olympic (W)
Canberra Croatia FC (W)2-2Canberra Olympic (W)
Canberra Olympic (W)1-0Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Canberra Olympic (W)3-2Canberra Croatia FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canberra Olympic (W) 1530 · Canberra Croatia FC (W) 1602

	Canberra Olympic (W)	Draw	Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Our model	20%	24%	56%
Market	21%	22%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canberra Croatia FC (W) (rating 1530 vs 1602).
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canberra Olympic (W)	Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	4.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.9	1.4 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.10

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
X	4.33 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
2	1.44 → 1.57▲	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:29 +7’	5.25	4.33	1.44
14:14 +11’	4.33▼	4.10▼	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Olympic (W) 2–2–2 Canberra Croatia FC (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Canberra Croatia FC (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Canberra Olympic (W)
20/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Canberra Olympic (W)	1-3 HT 1-3	Canberra Croatia FC (W)
12/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Canberra Croatia FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Canberra Olympic (W)
14/09/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Canberra Croatia FC (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	Canberra Olympic (W)
31/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Canberra Olympic (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Canberra Croatia FC (W)
13/08/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Canberra Olympic (W)	3-2 HT 2-0	Canberra Croatia FC (W)

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Belconnen United (W)	15	13	2	0	89	5	41
2	Canberra Croatia FC (W)	16	12	3	1	68	6	39
3	Canberra Olympic (W)	16	9	2	5	38	16	29
4	Tuggeranong Utd (W)	16	3	3	10	15	48	12
5	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	15	3	2	10	10	57	11
6	Majura FC (W)	16	0	2	14	1	89	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canberra Olympic (W)	Canberra Croatia FC (W)
Majura FC (W)	5-0 W	11-0 W
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	5-0 W	8-1 W
Belconnen United (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Tuggeranong Utd (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Canberra Croatia FC (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canberra Olympic (W)

DLLWWLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	4-0	5-0	14	0	W
12/07	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	4-0	5-0	7	1	W
05/07	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
27/06	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
21/06	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
14/06	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	14	0	W
31/05	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
24/05	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	0	4	L
20/05	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-3	1-3	2	5	L
17/05	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	3	3	D

Canberra Croatia FC (W)

WWWDWWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	3-0	4-0	9	0	W
12/07	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
05/07	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	3-0	11-0	10	0	W
28/06	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	3-1	8-1	9	2	W
21/06	Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
14/06	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
31/05	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
24/05	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	5-0	18	0	W
20/05	Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	3-1	3-1	4	5	W
17/05	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canberra Olympic (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Canberra Croatia FC (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Canberra Olympic (W) 20%, draw 23%, Canberra Croatia FC (W) 57%.

How many goals are expected in Canberra Olympic (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Canberra Olympic (W) 1.06 · Canberra Croatia FC (W) 1.92), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Canberra Olympic (W) vs Canberra Croatia FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.