Football · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women · 16/08, 08:00

Prediction: West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) vs Tuggeranong Utd (W)

Team pages: West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) · Tuggeranong Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)1.75

Tuggeranong Utd (W)1.5

1X2

43% 25% 32%

West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Draw Tuggeranong Utd (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 4–1–1 Tuggeranong Utd (W) (6 last)

Tuggeranong Utd (W)2-2West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)1-0Tuggeranong Utd (W)
Tuggeranong Utd (W)2-0West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)11-0Tuggeranong Utd (W)
Tuggeranong Utd (W)1-5West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)5-1Tuggeranong Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 1441 · Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1437

	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	Draw	Tuggeranong Utd (W)
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours West Canberra Wanderers FC (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	Tuggeranong Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3.3	0.9 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.4 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.7	1.9 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0.1	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +3’	2.10	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 4–1–1 Tuggeranong Utd (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Tuggeranong Utd (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
24/05/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Tuggeranong Utd (W)
26/04/26 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Tuggeranong Utd (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
27/07/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	11-0	Tuggeranong Utd (W)
01/06/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	Tuggeranong Utd (W)	1-5 HT 1-2	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)
06/04/25 Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	5-1 HT 2-0	Tuggeranong Utd (W)

Standings · Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Belconnen United (W)	18	16	2	0	122	6	50
2	Canberra Croatia FC (W)	18	13	4	1	77	7	43
3	Canberra Olympic (W)	18	10	3	5	40	17	33
4	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	18	4	2	12	14	78	14
5	Tuggeranong Utd (W)	18	3	3	12	16	56	12
6	Majura FC (W)	18	0	2	16	1	106	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)	Tuggeranong Utd (W)
Canberra Croatia FC (W)	0-8 L	0-4 L
Majura FC (W)	4-0 W	5-0 W
Canberra Olympic (W)	0-5 L	0-1 L
Belconnen United (W)	0-7 L	1-7 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tuggeranong Utd (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

West Canberra Wanderers FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	0-8	1	0	L
02/08	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
12/07	Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-4	0-5	3	1	L
05/07	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	2-2	4	0	D
28/06	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-3	1-8	0	2	L
21/06	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	12	2	D
14/06	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-4	0-7	0	1	L
31/05	Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
24/05	Tuggeranong Utd (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
20/05	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	8	0	W

Tuggeranong Utd (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
02/08	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	1-4	1-7	0	1	L
26/07	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-3	0-4	1	0	L
12/07	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	3-0	5-0	11	0	W
05/07	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	2-2	3	0	D
27/06	Canberra Olympic (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
21/06	Belconnen United (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-5	0-8	0	0	L
14/06	Canberra Croatia FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	1	0	L
31/05	Majura FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	11	0	D
24/05	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) vs Tuggeranong Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) win (43%). Probabilities: West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 43%, draw 25%, Tuggeranong Utd (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) vs Tuggeranong Utd (W)?

The model expects 3.25 goals (West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) 1.75 · Tuggeranong Utd (W) 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) vs Tuggeranong Utd (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.