Football · China Super League · 22/08, 13:00

Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Team pages: Wuhan Three Towns · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Wuhan Three Towns1.4

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.4

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Wuhan Three Towns Draw Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wuhan Three Towns 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLLWDWDL

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Wuhan Three Towns 2–1–3 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (6 last)

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers2-2Wuhan Three Towns
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers4-0Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns2-1Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1-0Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns2-1Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Wuhan Three Towns0-1Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (rating 1481 vs 1536).
H2H favours Tianjin Jinmen Tigers: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuhan Three Towns	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.27 → 2.27	Pinn 2.27
X	3.48 → 3.48	Pinn 3.48
2	3.06 → 3.06	Pinn 3.06

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:58 +1’	2.27	3.48	3.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns 2–1–3 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	2-2 HT 0-0	Wuhan Three Towns
14/09/25 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	4-0 HT 2-0	Wuhan Three Towns
27/04/25 China Super League	Wuhan Three Towns	2-1 HT 0-1	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
16/08/24 China Super League	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	1-0 HT 0-0	Wuhan Three Towns
26/04/24 China Super League	Wuhan Three Towns	2-1 HT 1-1	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
23/09/23 China Super League	Wuhan Three Towns	0-1 HT 0-0	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Standings · China Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	23	14	6	3	45	24	48
2	Yunnan Yukun	23	10	4	9	46	42	34
3	Shandong Taishan	23	12	3	8	42	38	33
4	Qingdao West Coast	23	7	12	4	26	29	33
5	Beijing Guoan	22	10	7	5	42	29	32
6	Dalian Young Boy	22	10	2	10	33	39	32
7	Chongqing Tonglianglong	23	7	9	7	25	27	30
8	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	23	8	2	13	32	42	26
9	Shanghai Port	22	8	6	8	36	31	25
10	Shanghai Shenhua	22	10	5	7	42	35	25
11	Zhejiang	22	8	5	9	33	39	24
12	Liaoning Ironman	22	7	3	12	29	35	24
13	Henan	22	8	5	9	27	29	23
14	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	22	7	6	9	32	30	17
15	Wuhan Three Towns	21	4	8	9	30	38	15
16	Qingdao Hainiu	23	6	3	14	31	44	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuhan Three Towns	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Shanghai Port	2-3 L	1-1 D
Chongqing Tonglianglong	1-0 W	0-1 L
Shandong Taishan	1-1 D	1-2 L
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	2-0 W	3-0 W
Dalian Young Boy	2-3 L	1-0 W
Beijing Guoan	0-1 L	2-4 L
Yunnan Yukun	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wuhan Three Towns

DDDLLWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Shanghai Port China Super League	1-0	2-3	0	6	L
01/08	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/07	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
21/07	Shandong Taishan China FA Cup	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
18/07	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	2-0	2-0	11	2	W
04/07	Dalian Young Boy China Super League	2-1	2-3	2	5	L
27/06	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
20/06	Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup	0-0	0-0	12	3	D
31/05	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-0	1-1	7	9	D
24/05	Shandong Taishan China Super League	2-2	3-3	2	8	D

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

DWDLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-2	2-4	10	2	L
09/08	Shandong Taishan China Super League	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
01/08	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-1	3-2	3	3	W
25/07	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
18/07	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
04/07	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
27/06	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	0-0	0-1	13	2	L
19/06	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/05	Dalian Young Boy China Super League	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
23/05	Shanghai Port China Super League	0-0	1-1	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuhan Three Towns win (36%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 36%, draw 28%, Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 36%.

How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Wuhan Three Towns 1.4 · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.