Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: MP vs JaPS

Team pages: MP · JaPS

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
MP1.71
JaPS0.97
1X2
53% 26% 20%
MP Draw JaPS
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
MP 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLLLWDWDD
JaPS 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLDWLWLL
Head-to-head
MP 1–2–3 JaPS (6 last)
  • JaPS1-0MP
  • JaPS0-2MP
  • MP1-1JaPS
  • JaPS4-0MP
  • JaPS1-1MP
  • MP0-3JaPS
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MP (rating 1502 vs 1447).
  • H2H favours JaPS: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MPJaPS
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.40.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 1.30.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 42.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · MP 1–2–3 JaPS

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/08/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
JaPS1-0
HT 1-0
MP
22/05/26
Finland Ykkosliiga
JaPS0-2
HT 0-0
MP
21/02/26
Finland Ykkoscup
MP1-1
HT 0-1
JaPS
30/08/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
JaPS4-0
HT 2-0
MP
17/07/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
JaPS1-1
HT 1-0
MP
19/05/24
Finland Ykkosliiga
MP0-3
HT 0-2
JaPS

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 KTP 251843 452258
2 PK-35 261475 412149
3 FC Haka 261457 502947
4 Jippo 261286 362144
5 JaPS 2611213 234035
6 MP 268612 283630
7 Ekenäs IF 268513 294429
8 Klubi-04 266812 373726
9 KaPa 266713 314625
10 SJK II 252815 174114

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMPJaPS
KaPa 1-1 D 0-0 D
KTP 1-1 D 0-3 L
Jippo 1-0 W 0-4 L
SJK II 1-1 D 3-2 W
FC Haka 2-0 W 1-2 L
PK-35 0-3 L 0-3 L
Klubi-04 3-4 L 1-2 L
Ekenäs IF 0-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MP (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MP

WLLLLWDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-1 1-1 46 D
25/09 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-1 55 D
19/09 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 14 W
12/09 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 1-1 63 D
06/09 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 2-0 35 W
29/08 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-3 0-3 101 L
22/08 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
3-4 3-4 34 L
16/08 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-2 24 L
07/08 JaPS
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-1 31 L
29/07 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
2-1 2-1 35 W

JaPS

LWLLDWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-4 52 L
26/09 Klubi-04
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 1-2 32 L
18/09 Ekenäs IF
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 1-0 67 W
11/09 KTP
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 0-3 63 L
06/09 SJK II
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 3-2 65 W
28/08 KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-0 83 D
21/08 PK-35
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-2 0-3 62 L
14/08 FC Haka
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-1 1-2 42 L
07/08 MP
Finland Ykkosliiga
1-0 1-0 61 W
30/07 Jippo
Finland Ykkosliiga
0-0 0-1 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MP vs JaPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MP win (53%). Probabilities: MP 53%, draw 26%, JaPS 20%.

How many goals are expected in MP vs JaPS?

The model expects 2.68 goals (MP 1.71 · JaPS 0.97), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MP vs JaPS?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.