Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 14/08, 18:30
Prediction: Hestrafors IF vs Qviding FIF
Team pages: Hestrafors IF · Qviding FIF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.24Total
Hestrafors IF2.28
Qviding FIF1.96
1X2
Hestrafors IF
Draw
Qviding FIF
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hestrafors IF
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Qviding FIF
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hestrafors IF
3–1
Qviding FIF
(4 last)
- Qviding FIF2-3Hestrafors IF
- Hestrafors IF3-1Qviding FIF
- Qviding FIF1-3Hestrafors IF
- Hestrafors IF0-3Qviding FIF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hestrafors IF 1560 · Qviding FIF 1481
| Hestrafors IF | Draw | Qviding FIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 21% | 33% |
| Market | 45% | 22% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hestrafors IF (rating 1560 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Hestrafors IF: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hestrafors IF | Qviding FIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hestrafors IF 3–0–1 Qviding FIF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland | Qviding FIF | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Hestrafors IF |
| 10/08/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland | Hestrafors IF | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Qviding FIF |
| 26/04/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland | Qviding FIF | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Hestrafors IF |
| 14/06/18 Sweden 3.div Nordvästra Götaland | Hestrafors IF | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Qviding FIF |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landvetter IS | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 38 |
| 2 | Dalstorps IF | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | Jonsereds IF | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 28 |
| 4 | Västra Frölunda IF | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Hestrafors IF | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 27 |
| 6 | Lindome GIF | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 25 |
| 7 | IF Boljan | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 23 |
| 8 | Torslanda IK | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 9 | Qviding FIF | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 22 |
| 10 | Onsala BK | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 11 | Astorps FF | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 14 |
| 12 | IK Kongahälla | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 12 |
| 13 | Galtabäcks BK | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 10 |
| 14 | BK Astrio | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hestrafors IF | Qviding FIF |
|---|---|---|
| Västra Frölunda IF | 3-3 D | 0-5 L |
| Astorps FF | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| BK Astrio | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Torslanda IK | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| IF Boljan | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Jonsereds IF | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Onsala BK | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hestrafors IF (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hestrafors IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/06 | Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
3-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
Qviding FIF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 02/08 | BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/06 | Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 29/05 | Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hestrafors IF vs Qviding FIF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hestrafors IF win (45%). Probabilities: Hestrafors IF 45%, draw 22%, Qviding FIF 33%.
How many goals are expected in Hestrafors IF vs Qviding FIF?
The model expects 4.24 goals (Hestrafors IF 2.28 · Qviding FIF 1.96), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hestrafors IF vs Qviding FIF?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.