Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Västra Frölunda IF vs Onsala BK

Team pages: Västra Frölunda IF · Onsala BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Västra Frölunda IF1.83

Onsala BK1.39

1X2

48% 23% 29%

Västra Frölunda IF Draw Onsala BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Västra Frölunda IF 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Onsala BK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Västra Frölunda IF 2–1–3 Onsala BK (6 last)

Västra Frölunda IF4-2Onsala BK
Onsala BK0-0Västra Frölunda IF
Västra Frölunda IF2-1Onsala BK
Onsala BK2-0Västra Frölunda IF
Onsala BK2-1Västra Frölunda IF
Västra Frölunda IF0-5Onsala BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Västra Frölunda IF 1470 · Onsala BK 1447

	Västra Frölunda IF	Draw	Onsala BK
Our model	47%	25%	28%
Market	48%	22%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Onsala BK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Västra Frölunda IF	Onsala BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	2.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X4.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:12 +11’	1.85	4.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Västra Frölunda IF 2–1–3 Onsala BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Sweden Cup	Västra Frölunda IF	4-2 HT 2-1	Onsala BK
03/04/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	0-0 HT 0-0	Västra Frölunda IF
09/08/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	2-1 HT 1-1	Onsala BK
30/03/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	2-0 HT 0-0	Västra Frölunda IF
26/08/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	2-1 HT 1-1	Västra Frölunda IF
29/04/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	0-5 HT 0-2	Onsala BK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	19	14	2	3	32	12	44
2	Dalstorps IF	19	10	6	3	37	21	36
3	Jonsereds IF	19	10	5	4	35	31	35
4	Lindome GIF	19	10	4	5	38	27	34
5	Hestrafors IF	19	10	4	5	41	33	34
6	Västra Frölunda IF	19	8	6	5	38	30	30
7	IF Boljan	19	8	5	6	28	24	29
8	Qviding FIF	19	7	4	8	38	39	25
9	Torslanda IK	19	5	7	7	29	30	22
10	Onsala BK	19	5	6	8	26	32	21
11	Astorps FF	19	5	5	9	23	33	20
12	IK Kongahälla	19	3	6	10	20	36	15
13	Galtabäcks BK	19	3	5	11	26	32	14
14	BK Astrio	19	1	3	15	13	44	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Västra Frölunda IF	Onsala BK
Lindome GIF	1-2 L	1-4 L
Landvetter IS	1-0 W	2-4 L
IK Kongahälla	0-4 L	0-0 D
IF Boljan	1-2 L	3-0 W
Torslanda IK	1-1 D	1-1 D
Dalstorps IF	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Västra Frölunda IF (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Västra Frölunda IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
23/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
14/08	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-4	6	3	L
08/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	3-3	5	5	D
31/07	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
24/06	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	5-0	5	3	W
18/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
14/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
05/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
31/05	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-1	9	3	D

Onsala BK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
23/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	10	3	L
08/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
31/07	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
26/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	2-4	9	3	L
18/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
14/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
07/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-3	6	1	L
30/05	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	9	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Västra Frölunda IF vs Onsala BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Västra Frölunda IF win (48%). Probabilities: Västra Frölunda IF 48%, draw 23%, Onsala BK 29%.

How many goals are expected in Västra Frölunda IF vs Onsala BK?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Västra Frölunda IF 1.83 · Onsala BK 1.39), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Västra Frölunda IF vs Onsala BK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.