Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: BK Astrio vs Astorps FF

Team pages: BK Astrio · Astorps FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

BK Astrio1.09

Astorps FF1.7

1X2

25% 24% 52%

BK Astrio Draw Astorps FF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Astrio 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLLL

Astorps FF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLDLLWWL

Head-to-head

BK Astrio 0–1–2 Astorps FF (3 last)

Astorps FF2-1BK Astrio
BK Astrio0-1Astorps FF
Astorps FF1-1BK Astrio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Astrio 1359 · Astorps FF 1498

	BK Astrio	Draw	Astorps FF
Our model	23%	26%	50%
Market	26%	22%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Astorps FF (rating 1359 vs 1498).
H2H favours Astorps FF: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Astrio	Astorps FF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.7	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.7	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.50

X4.10

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +18’	3.50	4.10	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Astrio 0–1–2 Astorps FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Astorps FF	2-1 HT 1-0	BK Astrio
04/10/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	0-1 HT 0-1	Astorps FF
29/05/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Astorps FF	1-1 HT 1-1	BK Astrio

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	20	14	2	4	35	16	44
2	Dalstorps IF	19	10	6	3	37	21	36
3	Jonsereds IF	19	10	5	4	35	31	35
4	Lindome GIF	19	10	4	5	38	27	34
5	Hestrafors IF	19	10	4	5	41	33	34
6	Västra Frölunda IF	19	8	6	5	38	30	30
7	IF Boljan	19	8	5	6	28	24	29
8	Qviding FIF	19	7	4	8	38	39	25
9	Torslanda IK	19	5	7	7	29	30	22
10	Onsala BK	19	5	6	8	26	32	21
11	Astorps FF	19	5	5	9	23	33	20
12	IK Kongahälla	20	4	6	10	24	39	18
13	Galtabäcks BK	19	3	5	11	26	32	14
14	BK Astrio	19	1	3	15	13	44	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Astrio	Astorps FF
IF Boljan	0-1 L	1-0 W
Lindome GIF	0-2 L	0-2 L
Torslanda IK	0-6 L	1-1 D
Qviding FIF	1-3 L	2-2 D
Hestrafors IF	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Astorps FF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Astrio

DLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	2-4	2	3	L
22/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
14/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
09/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-4	0-6	1	2	L
02/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	4	4	L
27/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-4	1	0	L
11/06	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
05/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-3	5	0	L
30/05	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D

Astorps FF

WDLLDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
22/08	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	10	2	L
01/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
27/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
18/06	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
14/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
06/06	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-2	5	3	D
30/05	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-1	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Astrio vs Astorps FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Astorps FF win (52%). Probabilities: BK Astrio 25%, draw 24%, Astorps FF 52%.

How many goals are expected in BK Astrio vs Astorps FF?

The model expects 2.79 goals (BK Astrio 1.09 · Astorps FF 1.7), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Astrio vs Astorps FF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.