Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: Hestrafors IF vs Lindome GIF

Team pages: Hestrafors IF · Lindome GIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.17Total

Hestrafors IF2.13

Lindome GIF2.04

1X2

40% 23% 37%

Hestrafors IF Draw Lindome GIF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Hestrafors IF 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWDWDW

Lindome GIF 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDLWWWW

Head-to-head

Hestrafors IF 1–2 Lindome GIF (3 last)

Lindome GIF2-3Hestrafors IF
Hestrafors IF5-6Lindome GIF
Lindome GIF3-1Hestrafors IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hestrafors IF 1563 · Lindome GIF 1562

	Hestrafors IF	Draw	Lindome GIF
Our model	41%	22%	38%
Market	40%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lindome GIF: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hestrafors IF	Lindome GIF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	3.3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.80

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.25▲	Bet365 2.25
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.50 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:40 +24’	2.20	3.80	2.50
09:57 +24’	2.25▲	3.80	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hestrafors IF 1–0–2 Lindome GIF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Lindome GIF	2-3 HT 1-3	Hestrafors IF
26/09/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Hestrafors IF	5-6 HT 1-4	Lindome GIF
09/05/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Lindome GIF	3-1 HT 1-0	Hestrafors IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	20	14	2	4	35	16	44
2	Dalstorps IF	19	10	6	3	37	21	36
3	Jonsereds IF	19	10	5	4	35	31	35
4	Lindome GIF	19	10	4	5	38	27	34
5	Hestrafors IF	19	10	4	5	41	33	34
6	Västra Frölunda IF	19	8	6	5	38	30	30
7	IF Boljan	19	8	5	6	28	24	29
8	Qviding FIF	19	7	4	8	38	39	25
9	Torslanda IK	19	5	7	7	29	30	22
10	Onsala BK	19	5	6	8	26	32	21
11	Astorps FF	19	5	5	9	23	33	20
12	IK Kongahälla	20	4	6	10	24	39	18
13	Galtabäcks BK	19	3	5	11	26	32	14
14	BK Astrio	19	1	3	15	13	44	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hestrafors IF	Lindome GIF
Dalstorps IF	2-2 D	2-2 D
Västra Frölunda IF	3-3 D	2-1 W
Astorps FF	2-1 W	2-0 W
BK Astrio	2-1 W	2-0 W
IK Kongahälla	3-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Lindome GIF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hestrafors IF

WDLWWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
14/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
08/08	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-3	1	5	D
01/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
27/06	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/06	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
11/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	2-3	7	4	L
06/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	7	1	D
29/05	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-1	7	4	W

Lindome GIF

DDWWDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
23/08	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
14/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
07/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
31/07	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-3	6	2	L
26/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
18/06	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
11/06	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
05/06	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-2	12	4	D
29/05	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hestrafors IF vs Lindome GIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hestrafors IF win (40%). Probabilities: Hestrafors IF 40%, draw 23%, Lindome GIF 37%.

How many goals are expected in Hestrafors IF vs Lindome GIF?

The model expects 4.17 goals (Hestrafors IF 2.13 · Lindome GIF 2.04), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hestrafors IF vs Lindome GIF?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.