Prediction: Adelaide United NPL vs Campbelltown City
Expected goals: 3.27 (Adelaide United NPL 1.62 · Campbelltown City 1.66). The model gives 37% home, 24% draw, 39% away. Under 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Adelaide United NPL with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Campbelltown City has piled up 3-1-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Adelaide United NPL and 2 for Campbelltown City, with 1 draw.
| Adelaide United NPL | Draw | Campbelltown City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adelaide United NPL (rating 1507 vs 1454).
- H2H favours Adelaide United NPL: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Adelaide United NPL | Campbelltown City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.3 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide United NPL 3–1–2 Campbelltown City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Adelaide United NPL |
| 26/07/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide United NPL | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Campbelltown City |
| 03/05/25 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Adelaide United NPL |
| 25/05/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Adelaide United NPL |
| 24/02/24 Australia South Australia Premier League | Adelaide United NPL | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Campbelltown City |
| 02/09/23 Australia South Australia Premier League | Campbelltown City | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Adelaide United NPL |
Standings · Australia South Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Torrens Birkalla | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Metrostars | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Adelaide City | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | White City FK Beograd | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Playford | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 25 | 26 |
| 6 | Croydon FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 24 |
| 7 | Adelaide United NPL | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 24 | 21 |
| 8 | West Adelaide | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 16 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 30 | 18 |
| 10 | Campbelltown City | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 18 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 13 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 74 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Adelaide United NPL | Campbelltown City |
|---|---|---|
| Croydon FC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Adelaide City | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| West Adelaide | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Playford | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Para Hills Knights | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Metrostars | 1-6 L | 0-4 L |
| Sturt Lions | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Campbelltown City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adelaide United NPL
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 13 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Adelaide Comets Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
Campbelltown City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 12/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/05 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adelaide United NPL vs Campbelltown City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Campbelltown City win (39%). Probabilities: Adelaide United NPL 37%, draw 24%, Campbelltown City 39%.
How many goals are expected in Adelaide United NPL vs Campbelltown City?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Adelaide United NPL 1.62 · Campbelltown City 1.66), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Adelaide United NPL vs Campbelltown City?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.