Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Trygg/Lade vs Rana FK

Team pages: Trygg/Lade · Rana FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Trygg/Lade1.66

Rana FK1.69

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Trygg/Lade Draw Rana FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Trygg/Lade 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLLDLL

Rana FK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Trygg/Lade 2–3 Rana FK (5 last)

Rana FK1-0Trygg/Lade
Rana FK1-0Trygg/Lade
Trygg/Lade4-1Rana FK
Rana FK2-0Trygg/Lade
Trygg/Lade3-2Rana FK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rana FK (rating 1389 vs 1448).
H2H favours Rana FK: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Trygg/Lade	Rana FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.7	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	0 / 1.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.96

Under 3.51.83

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.47 → 2.48▲	Pinn 2.48
X	3.89 → 3.96▲	Pinn 3.96
2	2.37 → 2.33▼	Pinn 2.33

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:14 +9’	2.47	3.89	2.37
14:54 +17’	2.48▲	3.96▲	2.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Trygg/Lade 2–0–3 Rana FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Rana FK	1-0 HT 1-0	Trygg/Lade
22/09/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Rana FK	1-0 HT 0-0	Trygg/Lade
09/06/24 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Trygg/Lade	4-1 HT 1-1	Rana FK
31/07/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Rana FK	2-0	Trygg/Lade
23/07/22 Norway Division 3 Group 5	Trygg/Lade	3-2	Rana FK

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	25	19	3	3	62	23	60
2	Kjelsås	25	18	2	5	61	34	56
3	Levanger	25	17	1	7	60	31	52
4	Honefoss	25	15	4	6	59	38	49
5	Grorud	25	14	4	7	44	26	46
6	Stjørdals/Blink	25	12	3	10	44	41	39
7	Tromsdalen	25	12	2	11	46	41	38
8	Lørenskog	25	11	4	10	42	43	37
9	Junkeren	25	9	4	12	36	45	31
10	Rana FK	25	9	3	13	39	48	30
11	Skeid	25	7	2	16	37	54	23
12	Follo	25	5	5	15	32	51	20
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	25	4	1	20	30	82	13
14	Trygg/Lade	25	2	4	19	30	65	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Trygg/Lade	Rana FK
Kjelsås	0-5 L	0-2 L
Lørenskog	3-3 D	0-1 L
Junkeren	1-2 L	2-0 W
Eidsvold TF	1-4 L	2-1 W
Levanger	0-1 L	1-3 L
Tromsdalen	1-3 L	0-4 L
Honefoss	2-3 L	0-1 L
Ullensaker/Kisa	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 6 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Rana FK (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trygg/Lade

DDLLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-5	2	1	L
17/10	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-4	5	2	L
11/10	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	4	2	D
04/10	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
27/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-2	1-4	0	0	L
20/09	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
13/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
06/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	2-3	7	3	L
30/08	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
16/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-1	6	4	D

Rana FK

DWLLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
17/10	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
11/10	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	0	4	L
04/10	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-4	2-4	2	3	L
30/08	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/08	Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trygg/Lade vs Rana FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rana FK win (38%). Probabilities: Trygg/Lade 37%, draw 25%, Rana FK 38%.

How many goals are expected in Trygg/Lade vs Rana FK?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Trygg/Lade 1.66 · Rana FK 1.69), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Trygg/Lade vs Rana FK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.