Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Lørenskog vs Follo

Team pages: Lørenskog · Follo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Lørenskog1.93

Follo1.51

1X2

47% 24% 30%

Lørenskog Draw Follo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Lørenskog 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWLDLW

Follo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDLLWW

Head-to-head

Lørenskog 2–4 Follo (6 last)

Follo0-1Lørenskog
Lørenskog0-3Follo
Follo2-0Lørenskog
Lørenskog2-1Follo
Lørenskog0-7Follo
Follo8-0Lørenskog

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Follo: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lørenskog	Follo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.6	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.97

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.21 → 2.58▲	Pinn 2.58
X	4.02 → 3.98▼	Pinn 3.98
2	2.61 → 2.24▼	Pinn 2.24

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:21 +2’	2.21	4.02	2.61
14:33 +38’	2.58▲	3.98▼	2.24▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lørenskog 2–0–4 Follo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2	Follo	0-1 HT 0-0	Lørenskog
12/08/23 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Lørenskog	0-3 HT 0-2	Follo
28/05/23 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Follo	2-0 HT 2-0	Lørenskog
29/02/20 Europe Friendlies	Lørenskog	2-1 HT 1-1	Follo
20/09/14 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Lørenskog	0-7 HT 0-3	Follo
09/06/14 Norway Division 2 Group 4	Follo	8-0 HT 2-0	Lørenskog

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eidsvold TF	25	19	3	3	62	23	60
2	Kjelsås	25	18	2	5	61	34	56
3	Levanger	25	17	1	7	60	31	52
4	Honefoss	25	15	4	6	59	38	49
5	Grorud	25	14	4	7	44	26	46
6	Stjørdals/Blink	25	12	3	10	44	41	39
7	Tromsdalen	25	12	2	11	46	41	38
8	Lørenskog	25	11	4	10	42	43	37
9	Junkeren	25	9	4	12	36	45	31
10	Rana FK	25	9	3	13	39	48	30
11	Skeid	25	7	2	16	37	54	23
12	Follo	25	5	5	15	32	51	20
13	Ullensaker/Kisa	25	4	1	20	30	82	13
14	Trygg/Lade	25	2	4	19	30	65	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lørenskog	Follo
Ullensaker/Kisa	4-0 W	2-4 L
Kjelsås	2-3 L	2-2 D
Grorud	0-4 L	3-1 W
Skeid	4-1 W	2-0 W
Stjørdals/Blink	0-2 L	0-1 L
Rana FK	1-0 W	3-3 D
Levanger	0-5 L	2-5 L
Eidsvold TF	1-7 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Follo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lørenskog

LLDWLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	4-0	4-0	0	2	W
17/10	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	2-3	6	7	L
11/10	Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	2	2	D
03/10	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	0-4	6	1	L
27/09	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
20/09	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
13/09	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
30/08	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-2	0-5	5	1	L
15/08	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-4	1-7	4	2	L

Follo

DLWLLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
17/10	Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	3-1	4	8	W
10/10	Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
03/10	Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
26/09	Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
19/09	Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2	2-1	2-5	7	1	L
05/09	Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
30/08	Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
26/08	Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lørenskog vs Follo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lørenskog win (47%). Probabilities: Lørenskog 47%, draw 24%, Follo 30%.

How many goals are expected in Lørenskog vs Follo?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Lørenskog 1.93 · Follo 1.51), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lørenskog vs Follo?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.